Scenario Modeling

Stress-test the full Graham formula on stocks you are researching — adjust EPS basis, bond yield, growth, and base multiplier. No shares or portfolio totals here.

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Scenario walkthrough

Stress-test Graham fair value before you buy

Build a research watchlist (not holdings). Change EPS basis, bond yield, growth, and base multiplier — see Graham FV, MOS, N-N, and EPV update live. Covered in the daily digest when you opt in.

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Full Graham inputs: EPS basis, bond yield, base mult, growth %
Fair value, margin of safety, N-N, and EPV on every row
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EPS basis Growth basis Bond yield (%) Base multiplier

1Pick the EPS basis, growth basis, bond yield and base multiplier above — they apply to every stock.
2Type your own growth % or price on any stock to test a what-if.
3Read the Graham fair value and margin of safety.

Model outputs only — not investment advice. Edits are not saved; clear the price box (or press Esc) to go back to the last close.

How to read this table

Graham fair valueEPS × (base multiplier + 2 × growth %) × 4.4 ÷ bond yield.

Growth %Graham’s g is earnings-per-share growth. By default it is the yearly growth in split-adjusted diluted EPS over the last 10 years of reports (or 5 years with the growth basis switch), with no cap — fast growers show their actual history, so Graham fair value can run very high; type a lower number to be conservative. Revenue growth is only a fallback for companies with losses in their EPS history. Type any number to override.

FCF basisPick “FCF per share” in EPS basis to run the same Graham formula on free cash flow (operating cash flow − CapEx, ÷ diluted shares) instead of earnings — TTM (last four quarters), latest fiscal year, or a 3/5/10-year average. FCF accounts for capital expenditures, measuring true cash available to owners. Negative FCF shows N/A (high reinvestment or a loss year).

PriceLast close by default. Type a different price to see how P/E and margin of safety change — fair value does not depend on price.

Margin of safetyHow far the price is below (+) or above (−) fair value. Undervalued = more than 20% below; Overvalued = more than 10% above; otherwise Near fair value.

N-N (net-net)Current assets minus all liabilities, per share. Negative is normal for most companies.

EPVEarnings power value per share — what today’s earnings are worth with zero growth.

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Market & inputs					Valuation
Ticker	Price Editable	P/E	EPS	Growth % · editable	Graham FV Fair value	MOS Margin of safety	Other values Net-net · EPV