Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. (AEM) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. (AEM) has a Graham intrinsic value of $49.88 per share. Over the last 7 fiscal years revenue grew 33.0% a year to $1.9B, with an average return on invested capital of 1.7%.

Graham intrinsic value
$49.88
Revenue (FY2012)
$1.9B
Revenue growth (7-yr CAGR)
33.0%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
1.7%
Free cash flow (FY2012)
—

AEM 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2012 $1.9B $310.9M $1.81 — 32.5% 7.9%
FY2011 $1.8B -$569.0M -$3.36 — -33.0% -13.9%
FY2010 $1.4B $332.1M $2.00 — 33.6% 8.8%
FY2009 $640.1M $86.5M $0.55 — 24.8% 2.6%
FY2008 $406.3M $73.2M $0.50 — — 2.9%
FY2007 $461.4M $139.3M $1.04 — — —
FY2006 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

AGNICO EAGLE MINES LTD revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

AGNICO EAGLE MINES LTD has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 1.7% ROIC.

AGNICO EAGLE MINES LTD capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, AGNICO EAGLE MINES LTD is modeled at 11.7% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $49.88 per share.

AEM stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. (AEM) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 11.7% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, AEM's intrinsic value is about $49.88 per share.

What is AEM's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 7 fiscal years was 1.7%, and average return on equity was 1.9%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this AEM data come from?

From Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Apr 2, 2013. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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