Autoliv Inc. (ALV) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Autoliv Inc. (ALV) has a Graham intrinsic value of $144.35 per share. At $115.99 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 20% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 3.5% a year to $10.8B, with an average return on invested capital of 13.1%.

Graham intrinsic value
$144.35
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$115.99
Price vs Graham value
20% below
Market cap
$8.9B
Revenue (FY2025)
$10.8B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
3.5%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
13.1%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$716.0M

ALV 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $10.8B $735.0M $9.55 $716.0M 10.1% 19.8%
FY2024 $10.4B $646.0M $8.04 $480.0M 9.4% 18.0%
FY2023 $10.5B $488.0M $5.72 $409.0M 6.6% 13.8%
FY2022 $8.8B $423.0M $4.85 $128.0M 7.5% 12.1%
FY2021 $8.2B $435.0M $4.96 $296.0M 8.2% 12.8%
FY2020 $7.4B $186.9M $2.14 $505.4M 5.1% 6.5%
FY2019 $8.5B $461.5M $5.29 $157.3M 8.5% 14.0%
FY2018 $8.7B $190.4M $2.18 $30.6M 7.9% 8.7%
FY2017 $8.1B $427.1M $4.87 $355.8M 7.4% 9.8%
FY2016 $7.9B $567.1M $6.42 $361.6M 10.7% 15.0%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

AUTOLIV INC has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 3.5% annually over the past decade.

AUTOLIV INC returns on capital have been average, hovering around 13.1% ROIC over the decade.

Over the decade, AUTOLIV INC shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 13.0% of outstanding shares, and that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, AUTOLIV INC is modeled at 4.5% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $144.35 per share.

ALV stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Autoliv Inc. (ALV) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 4.5% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, ALV's intrinsic value is about $144.35 per share.

Is ALV stock undervalued?

At $115.99 (close on Oct 17, 2026), ALV trades 20% below its Graham value of $144.35. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Autoliv Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $7.9B in fiscal 2016 to $10.8B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 3.5%. Net income was $735.0M in fiscal 2025.

Does Autoliv Inc. generate free cash flow?

Autoliv Inc. generated $716.0M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 10 of the last 10 reported years.

What is ALV's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 13.1%, and average return on equity was 17.4%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this ALV data come from?

From Autoliv Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jul 17, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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