Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO) has a Graham intrinsic value of $1.77 per share. At $12.16 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 587% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 12.4% a year to $529.3M, with an average return on invested capital of 116.7%.

Graham intrinsic value
$1.77
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$12.16
Price vs Graham value
587% above
Market cap
$1.3B
Revenue (FY2025)
$529.3M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
12.4%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
116.7%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
—

ARLO 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $529.3M $14.9M $0.14 — 1.1% 45.6%
FY2024 $510.9M -$30.5M -$0.31 $48.6M -6.8% -69.1%
FY2023 $491.2M -$22.0M -$0.24 $35.5M -5.1% -57.4%
FY2022 $490.4M -$56.6M -$0.65 -$48.0M -11.6% 609.1%
FY2021 $435.1M -$56.0M -$0.68 -$25.5M -13.8% 174.4%
FY2020 $357.2M -$101.3M -$1.30 -$50.4M -29.4% 663.0%
FY2019 $370.0M -$86.0M -$1.14 $2.5M -23.0% -127.3%
FY2018 $464.9M -$75.5M -$1.12 -$39.4M -16.1% -56.8%
FY2017 $370.7M $6.5M $0.11 -$42.6M 1.5% 3.9%
FY2016 $184.6M -$13.7M -$0.22 -$34.6M -7.1% -18.0%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Arlo Technologies, Inc. is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 12.4% annually over the past decade.

Arlo Technologies, Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -27.4% ROIC.

Arlo Technologies, Inc. has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Arlo Technologies, Inc. is modeled at 3.1% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $1.77 per share.

ARLO stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 3.1% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, ARLO's intrinsic value is about $1.77 per share.

Is ARLO stock undervalued?

At $12.16 (close on Oct 17, 2026), ARLO trades 587% above its Graham value of $1.77. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Arlo Technologies, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $184.6M in fiscal 2016 to $529.3M in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 12.4%. Net income was $14.9M in fiscal 2025.

What is ARLO's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 116.7%, and average return on equity was -28.9%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this ARLO data come from?

From Arlo Technologies, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 6, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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