Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. (AXTA) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. (AXTA) has a Graham intrinsic value of $57.80 per share. At $33.44 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 42% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 2.6% a year to $5.1B, with an average return on invested capital of 8.3%.

Graham intrinsic value
$57.80
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$33.44
Price vs Graham value
42% below
Market cap
$7.3B
Revenue (FY2025)
$5.1B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
2.6%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
8.3%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$453.0M

AXTA 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $5.1B $378.0M $1.74 $453.0M 14.4% 10.6%
FY2024 $5.3B $391.0M $1.78 $436.0M 13.4% 12.1%
FY2023 $5.2B $267.4M $1.21 $437.4M 11.3% 9.9%
FY2022 $4.9B $191.6M $0.86 $142.9M 8.7% 7.1%
FY2021 $4.4B $263.9M $1.14 $437.0M 10.5% 8.6%
FY2020 $3.7B $121.6M $0.52 $427.2M 8.2% 7.6%
FY2019 $4.5B $249.0M $1.06 $460.6M 10.9% 8.8%
FY2018 $4.7B $207.1M $0.85 $352.7M 9.5% 8.0%
FY2017 $4.4B $36.7M $0.15 $415.0M 8.3% 4.4%
FY2016 $4.1B $41.8M $0.17 $423.1M 10.0% 5.5%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 2.6% annually over the past decade.

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. returns on capital have been average, hovering around 8.3% ROIC over the decade.

Over the decade, Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 11.2% of outstanding shares.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $57.80 per share.

AXTA stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. (AXTA) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, AXTA's intrinsic value is about $57.80 per share.

Is AXTA stock undervalued?

At $33.44 (close on Oct 17, 2026), AXTA trades 42% below its Graham value of $57.80. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. grown?

Revenue went from $4.1B in fiscal 2016 to $5.1B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 2.6%. Net income was $378.0M in fiscal 2025.

Does Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. generate free cash flow?

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. generated $453.0M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 10 of the last 10 reported years.

What is AXTA's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 8.3%, and average return on equity was 13.9%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this AXTA data come from?

From Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jul 29, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

Similar paints, varnishes, lacquers, enamels & allied prods stocks