Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) has a Graham intrinsic value of $293.56 per share. At $262.66 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 11% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 8.4% a year to $11.5B, with an average return on invested capital of 24.7%.

Graham intrinsic value
$293.56
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$262.66
Price vs Graham value
11% below
Market cap
$16.8B
Revenue (FY2026)
$11.5B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
8.4%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
24.7%
Free cash flow (FY2026)
$171.6M

BURL 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2026 $11.5B $610.2M $9.51 $171.6M — 26.0%
FY2025 $10.6B $503.6M $7.80 -$17.0M — 28.2%
FY2024 $9.7B $339.6M $5.23 $376.1M — 23.6%
FY2023 $8.7B $230.1M $3.49 $149.0M — 17.5%
FY2022 $9.3B $408.8M $6.00 $480.7M — 36.5%
FY2021 $5.8B -$216.5M -$3.28 -$54.1M — -20.2%
FY2020 $7.3B $465.1M $6.91 $563.4M — 40.0%
FY2019 $6.6B $414.7M $6.04 $343.9M — 36.4%
FY2018 $6.1B $384.9M $5.48 $339.1M — 37.0%
FY2017 $5.6B $215.9M $3.01 $428.4M — 21.6%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Burlington Stores, Inc. is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 8.4% annually over the past decade.

Burlington Stores, Inc. has earned high returns on invested capital, averaging 24.7% ROIC over the available history. High ROIC is consistent with a durable franchise, but it is not by itself proof of an economic moat.

Over the decade, Burlington Stores, Inc. shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 10.6% of outstanding shares.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Burlington Stores, Inc. is modeled at 13.6% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $293.56 per share.

BURL stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 13.6% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, BURL's intrinsic value is about $293.56 per share.

Is BURL stock undervalued?

At $262.66 (close on Oct 17, 2026), BURL trades 11% below its Graham value of $293.56. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Burlington Stores, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $5.6B in fiscal 2017 to $11.5B in fiscal 2026, a compound annual growth rate of 8.4%. Net income was $610.2M in fiscal 2026.

Does Burlington Stores, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Burlington Stores, Inc. generated $171.6M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2026. Free cash flow was positive in 8 of the last 10 reported years.

What is BURL's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 24.7%, and average return on equity was 213.2%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this BURL data come from?

From Burlington Stores, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed May 28, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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