CULLEN/FROST BANKERS, Inc. (CFR) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

CULLEN/FROST BANKERS, Inc. (CFR) has a Graham intrinsic value of $209.68 per share. At $155.05 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 26% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue shrank 21.9% a year to $121.6M, with an average return on invested capital of 12.9%.

Graham intrinsic value
$209.68
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$155.05
Price vs Graham value
26% below
Market cap
$9.9B
Revenue (FY2025)
$121.6M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
-21.9%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
12.9%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$127.3M

CFR 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $121.6M $648.6M $9.92 $127.3M — 15.3%
FY2024 $106.2M $582.5M $8.87 $861.8M — 15.3%
FY2023 $93.5M $598.0M $9.10 $320.2M — 17.4%
FY2022 $91.9M $579.1M $8.81 $620.1M — 15.3%
FY2021 $83.3M $443.1M $6.76 $582.4M — 10.1%
FY2020 $80.9M $331.2M $5.10 $428.8M — 8.1%
FY2019 $89.0M $443.6M $6.84 $427.4M — 12.2%
FY2018 $85.2M $454.9M $6.90 $483.1M — 13.6%
FY2017 $1.2B $364.1M $5.51 $504.0M — 11.6%
FY2016 $1.1B $304.3M $4.70 $384.2M — 10.1%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

CULLEN/FROST BANKERS, INC. is facing top-line stagnation, with revenue contracting over the decade.

CULLEN/FROST BANKERS, INC. 10-year average ROIC is N/A; capital efficiency cannot be assessed from the available history.

CULLEN/FROST BANKERS, INC. has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, CULLEN/FROST BANKERS, INC. is modeled at 8.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $209.68 per share.

CFR stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of CULLEN/FROST BANKERS, Inc. (CFR) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 8.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, CFR's intrinsic value is about $209.68 per share.

Is CFR stock undervalued?

At $155.05 (close on Oct 17, 2026), CFR trades 26% below its Graham value of $209.68. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has CULLEN/FROST BANKERS, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $1.1B in fiscal 2016 to $121.6M in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of -21.9%. Net income was $648.6M in fiscal 2025.

Does CULLEN/FROST BANKERS, Inc. generate free cash flow?

CULLEN/FROST BANKERS, Inc. generated $127.3M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 10 of the last 10 reported years.

What is CFR's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 12.9%, and average return on equity was 12.9%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this CFR data come from?

From CULLEN/FROST BANKERS, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jul 30, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

Similar national commercial banks stocks