Churchill Downs Inc. (CHDN) intrinsic value & 10-year financials
Churchill Downs Inc. (CHDN) has a Graham intrinsic value of $92.59 per share. At $81.70 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 12% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 15.1% a year to $2.9B, with an average return on invested capital of 8.3%.
- Graham intrinsic value
- $92.59
- Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
- $81.70
- Price vs Graham value
- 12% below
- Market cap
- $5.9B
- Revenue (FY2025)
- $2.9B
- Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
- 15.1%
- ROIC (10-yr avg)
- 8.3%
- Free cash flow (FY2025)
- $565.1M
CHDN 10-year financial history
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Net income | EPS (diluted) | Free cash flow | Operating margin | ROIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | $2.9B | $383.0M | — | $565.1M | 23.4% | 8.3% |
| FY2024 | $2.7B | $426.8M | — | $308.3M | 25.9% | 9.2% |
| FY2023 | $2.5B | $417.3M | $5.49 | $6.5M | 22.9% | 7.8% |
| FY2022 | $1.8B | $439.4M | $5.71 | $460.6M | 17.8% | 6.6% |
| FY2021 | $1.6B | $249.1M | $3.17 | $420.0M | 17.8% | 10.4% |
| FY2020 | $1.1B | -$81.9M | -$1.04 | $118.9M | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| FY2019 | $1.3B | $137.5M | $1.69 | $241.3M | 16.2% | 9.7% |
| FY2018 | $1.0B | $352.8M | $4.24 | $168.2M | 18.7% | 11.2% |
| FY2017 | $882.6M | $140.5M | $4.38 | $184.9M | 16.5% | 8.9% |
| FY2016 | $822.4M | $108.1M | $3.21 | $195.9M | 23.6% | 8.0% |
Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.
Executive summary
Churchill Downs Inc is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 15.1% annually over the past decade.
Churchill Downs Inc returns on capital have been average, hovering around 8.3% ROIC over the decade.
Over the decade, Churchill Downs Inc shows that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.
Benjamin Graham lens
Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Churchill Downs Inc is modeled at 5.8% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $92.59 per share.