Clearwater Paper Corp. (CLW) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Clearwater Paper Corp. (CLW) has a Graham intrinsic value of $61.37 per share. At $19.30 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 69% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue shrank 1.2% a year to $1.6B, with an average return on invested capital of 2.8%.

Graham intrinsic value
$61.37
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$19.30
Price vs Graham value
69% below
Market cap
$312.1M
Revenue (FY2025)
$1.6B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
-1.2%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
2.8%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$76.5M

CLW 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $1.6B -$18.6M -$1.15 -$76.5M -2.7% -2.8%
FY2024 $1.4B $196.3M $11.70 -$55.2M -4.7% -6.1%
FY2023 $1.1B $107.7M $6.30 $117.0M 15.6% 12.3%
FY2022 $1.2B $46.0M $2.68 $116.7M 9.5% 6.5%
FY2021 $1.8B -$28.1M -$1.67 $58.0M 0.7% 0.8%
FY2020 $1.9B $77.1M $4.61 $207.4M 8.5% 9.9%
FY2019 $1.8B -$5.6M -$0.34 -$84.5M 2.6% 2.5%
FY2018 $1.7B -$143.8M -$8.72 -$126.8M -5.7% -8.3%
FY2017 $1.7B $97.3M $5.88 -$22.1M 4.2% 6.7%
FY2016 $1.7B $49.6M $2.90 $17.4M 6.4% 6.7%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Clearwater Paper Corp is facing top-line stagnation, with revenue contracting over the decade.

Clearwater Paper Corp has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 2.8% ROIC.

Clearwater Paper Corp has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Clearwater Paper Corp is modeled at -1.2% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $61.37 per share.

CLW stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Clearwater Paper Corp. (CLW) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a -1.2% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, CLW's intrinsic value is about $61.37 per share.

Is CLW stock undervalued?

At $19.30 (close on Oct 17, 2026), CLW trades 69% below its Graham value of $61.37. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Clearwater Paper Corp. grown?

Revenue went from $1.7B in fiscal 2016 to $1.6B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of -1.2%. Net income was -$18.6M in fiscal 2025.

Does Clearwater Paper Corp. generate free cash flow?

Clearwater Paper Corp. generated -$76.5M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 5 of the last 10 reported years.

What is CLW's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 2.8%, and average return on equity was 5.9%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this CLW data come from?

From Clearwater Paper Corp.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jul 28, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.