Cme Group Inc. (CME) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Cme Group Inc. (CME) has a Graham intrinsic value of $235.89 per share. At $293.87 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 25% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 6.8% a year to $6.5B, with an average return on invested capital of 9.7%.

Graham intrinsic value
$235.89
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$293.87
Price vs Graham value
25% above
Market cap
$105.9B
Revenue (FY2025)
$6.5B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
6.8%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
9.7%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$4.2B

CME 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $6.5B $4.1B $11.16 $4.2B 64.9% 13.1%
FY2024 $6.1B $3.5B $9.67 $3.6B 64.1% 12.5%
FY2023 $5.6B $3.2B $8.86 $3.4B 61.6% 10.9%
FY2022 $5.0B $2.7B $7.40 $3.0B 60.1% 9.2%
FY2021 $4.7B $2.6B $7.29 $2.3B 56.4% 8.1%
FY2020 $4.9B $2.1B $5.87 $2.5B 54.0% 8.1%
FY2019 $4.9B $2.1B $5.91 $2.4B 53.2% 8.1%
FY2018 $4.3B $2.0B $5.71 $2.3B 60.5% 8.1%
FY2017 $3.6B $4.1B $11.94 $1.8B 63.4% 11.3%
FY2016 $3.6B $1.5B $4.53 $1.6B 61.3% 7.3%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

CME Group has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 6.8% annually over the past decade.

CME Group returns on capital have been average, hovering around 9.9% ROIC over the decade.

CME Group has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, CME Group is modeled at 8.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $235.89 per share.

CME stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Cme Group Inc. (CME) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 8.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, CME's intrinsic value is about $235.89 per share.

Is CME stock undervalued?

At $293.87 (close on Oct 17, 2026), CME trades 25% above its Graham value of $235.89. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Cme Group Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $3.6B in fiscal 2016 to $6.5B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 6.8%. Net income was $4.1B in fiscal 2025.

Does Cme Group Inc. generate free cash flow?

Cme Group Inc. generated $4.2B of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 10 of the last 10 reported years.

What is CME's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 9.7%, and average return on equity was 11.1%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this CME data come from?

From Cme Group Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jul 24, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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