Cummins Inc. (CMI) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Cummins Inc. (CMI) has a Graham intrinsic value of $433.31 per share. At $531.33 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 23% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 7.5% a year to $33.7B, with an average return on invested capital of 21.4%.

Graham intrinsic value
$433.31
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$531.33
Price vs Graham value
23% above
Market cap
$73.7B
Revenue (FY2025)
$33.7B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
7.5%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
21.4%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$2.4B

CMI 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $33.7B $3.0B $20.50 $2.4B 12.0% 20.2%
FY2024 $34.1B $4.1B $28.37 $279.0M 11.0% 25.0%
FY2023 $34.1B $840.0M $5.15 $2.8B 5.2% 8.0%
FY2022 $28.1B $2.2B $15.12 $1.0B 10.4% 21.8%
FY2021 $24.0B $2.2B $14.61 $1.5B 11.3% 24.0%
FY2020 $19.8B $1.8B $12.01 $2.2B 11.5% 21.7%
FY2019 $23.6B $2.3B $14.48 $2.5B 11.5% 27.7%
FY2018 $23.8B $2.2B $13.15 $1.7B 11.7% 29.3%
FY2017 $20.4B $994.0M $5.97 $1.8B 11.6% 16.0%
FY2016 $17.5B $1.5B $8.23 $1.4B 11.0% 19.9%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Cummins has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 7.5% annually over the past decade.

Cummins has earned high returns on invested capital, averaging 21.4% ROIC over the available history. High ROIC is consistent with a durable franchise, but it is not by itself proof of an economic moat.

Over the decade, Cummins shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 18.1% of outstanding shares, and that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Cummins is modeled at 8.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $433.31 per share.

CMI stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Cummins Inc. (CMI) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 8.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, CMI's intrinsic value is about $433.31 per share.

Is CMI stock undervalued?

At $531.33 (close on Oct 17, 2026), CMI trades 23% above its Graham value of $433.31. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Cummins Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $17.5B in fiscal 2016 to $33.7B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 7.5%. Net income was $3.0B in fiscal 2025.

Does Cummins Inc. generate free cash flow?

Cummins Inc. generated $2.4B of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 10 of the last 10 reported years.

What is CMI's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 21.4%, and average return on equity was 24.8%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this CMI data come from?

From Cummins Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 4, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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