Graco Inc. (GGG) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Graco Inc. (GGG) has a Graham intrinsic value of $102.30 per share. At $81.99 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 20% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 6.0% a year to $2.2B, with an average return on invested capital of 30.7%.

Graham intrinsic value
$102.30
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$81.99
Price vs Graham value
20% below
Market cap
$13.9B
Revenue (FY2025)
$2.2B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
6.0%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
30.7%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$637.9M

GGG 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $2.2B $521.8M $3.08 $637.9M 27.9% 25.6%
FY2024 $2.1B $486.1M $2.82 $515.0M 27.0% 26.0%
FY2023 $2.2B $506.5M $2.94 $466.2M 29.5% 32.5%
FY2022 $2.1B $460.6M $2.66 $176.2M 26.7% 32.4%
FY2021 $2.0B $439.9M $2.52 $323.3M 26.7% 39.2%
FY2020 $1.7B $330.5M $1.92 $322.7M 23.7% 33.3%
FY2019 $1.6B $343.9M $2.00 $290.8M 25.8% 38.3%
FY2018 $1.7B $341.1M $1.97 $314.1M 26.4% 41.9%
FY2017 $1.5B $252.4M $1.45 $297.7M 24.4% 31.3%
FY2016 $1.3B $40.7M $0.24 $227.0M 8.6% 6.9%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

GRACO INC has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 6.0% annually over the past decade.

GRACO INC has earned high returns on invested capital, averaging 30.7% ROIC over the available history. High ROIC is consistent with a durable franchise, but it is not by itself proof of an economic moat.

GRACO INC has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, GRACO INC is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $102.30 per share.

GGG stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Graco Inc. (GGG) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, GGG's intrinsic value is about $102.30 per share.

Is GGG stock undervalued?

At $81.99 (close on Oct 17, 2026), GGG trades 20% below its Graham value of $102.30. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Graco Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $1.3B in fiscal 2016 to $2.2B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 6.0%. Net income was $521.8M in fiscal 2025.

Does Graco Inc. generate free cash flow?

Graco Inc. generated $637.9M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 10 of the last 10 reported years.

What is GGG's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 30.7%, and average return on equity was 28.0%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this GGG data come from?

From Graco Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jul 22, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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