Hca Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Hca Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) has a Graham intrinsic value of $598.82 per share. At $458.84 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 23% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 6.9% a year to $75.6B, with an average return on invested capital of -111.2%.

Graham intrinsic value
$598.82
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$458.84
Price vs Graham value
23% below
Market cap
$109.9B
Revenue (FY2025)
$75.6B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
6.9%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-111.2%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$7.7B

HCA 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $75.6B $6.8B $28.33 $7.7B — 17.4%
FY2024 $70.6B $5.8B $22.00 $5.6B — 14.3%
FY2023 $65.0B $5.2B $18.97 $4.7B — 13.8%
FY2022 $60.2B $5.6B $19.15 $4.1B — 32.0%
FY2021 $58.8B $7.0B $21.16 $5.4B — -731.1%
FY2020 $51.5B $3.8B $10.93 $6.4B — -232.5%
FY2019 $51.3B $3.5B $10.07 $3.4B — -91.7%
FY2018 $46.7B $3.8B $10.66 $3.2B — -64.2%
FY2017 $43.6B $2.2B $5.95 $2.4B — -31.0%
FY2016 $41.5B $2.9B $7.30 $2.9B — -39.3%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

HCA Healthcare has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 6.9% annually over the past decade.

HCA Healthcare has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -15.8% ROIC.

Over the decade, HCA Healthcare shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 39.5% of outstanding shares, and that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, HCA Healthcare is modeled at 8.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $598.82 per share.

HCA stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Hca Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 8.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, HCA's intrinsic value is about $598.82 per share.

Is HCA stock undervalued?

At $458.84 (close on Oct 17, 2026), HCA trades 23% below its Graham value of $598.82. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Hca Healthcare, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $41.5B in fiscal 2016 to $75.6B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 6.9%. Net income was $6.8B in fiscal 2025.

Does Hca Healthcare, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Hca Healthcare, Inc. generated $7.7B of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 10 of the last 10 reported years.

What is HCA's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was -111.2%, and average return on equity was -538.0%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this HCA data come from?

From Hca Healthcare, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jul 28, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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