Hci Group, Inc. (HCI) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Hci Group, Inc. (HCI) has a Graham intrinsic value of $754.66 per share. At $198.55 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 74% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 14.6% a year to $900.9M, with an average return on invested capital of -133.1%.

Graham intrinsic value
$754.66
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$198.55
Price vs Graham value
74% below
Market cap
$2.6B
Revenue (FY2025)
$900.9M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
14.6%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-133.1%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$440.8M

HCI 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $900.9M $299.0M $22.72 $440.8M — -1925.6%
FY2024 $750.1M $110.0M $8.89 $327.8M — 213.6%
FY2023 $550.7M $79.0M $7.62 $224.2M — 116.0%
FY2022 $499.6M -$58.5M -$6.24 -$6.4M — 97.0%
FY2021 $407.9M $1.9M $0.00 $93.2M — -1.1%
FY2020 $310.4M $27.6M $0.00 $70.9M — 119.1%
FY2019 $242.5M $26.6M $0.00 $51.2M — 17.0%
FY2018 $231.3M $17.7M $0.00 $26.4M — 9.6%
FY2017 $244.4M -$6.9M -$0.00 $14.3M — -5.0%
FY2016 $264.4M $29.0M $0.00 $87.4M — 28.4%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

HCI Group, Inc. is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 14.6% annually over the past decade.

HCI Group, Inc. has earned high returns on invested capital, averaging 36.4% ROIC over the available history. High ROIC is consistent with a durable franchise, but it is not by itself proof of an economic moat.

Over the decade, HCI Group, Inc. shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 99.9% of outstanding shares.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, HCI Group, Inc. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $754.66 per share.

HCI stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Hci Group, Inc. (HCI) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, HCI's intrinsic value is about $754.66 per share.

Is HCI stock undervalued?

At $198.55 (close on Oct 17, 2026), HCI trades 74% below its Graham value of $754.66. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Hci Group, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $264.4M in fiscal 2016 to $900.9M in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 14.6%. Net income was $299.0M in fiscal 2025.

Does Hci Group, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Hci Group, Inc. generated $440.8M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 9 of the last 10 reported years.

What is HCI's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was -133.1%, and average return on equity was 12.4%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this HCI data come from?

From Hci Group, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 7, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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