Hartford Insurance GROUP, Inc. (HIG) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Hartford Insurance GROUP, Inc. (HIG) has a Graham intrinsic value of $442.43 per share. At $135.12 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 69% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue shrank 24.2% a year to $1.5B, with an average return on invested capital of 8.3%.

Graham intrinsic value
$442.43
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$135.12
Price vs Graham value
69% below
Market cap
$38.7B
Revenue (FY2025)
$1.5B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
-24.2%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
8.3%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$5.8B

HIG 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $1.5B $3.8B $13.32 $5.8B — 17.5%
FY2024 $1.5B $3.1B $10.35 $5.8B — 15.5%
FY2023 $1.4B $2.5B $7.97 $4.0B — 13.4%
FY2022 $1.4B $1.8B $5.44 $3.8B — 9.0%
FY2021 $1.6B $2.4B $6.62 $4.0B — 10.4%
FY2020 $1.4B $1.7B $4.76 $3.8B — 8.0%
FY2019 $1.4B $2.1B $5.66 $3.4B — 10.8%
FY2018 $1.4B $1.8B $4.95 $2.7B — 10.0%
FY2017 $1.3B -$3.1B -$8.61 $1.9B — -16.0%
FY2016 $18.3B $896.0M $2.27 $1.8B — 4.3%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Hartford (The) is facing top-line stagnation, with revenue contracting over the decade.

Hartford (The) returns on capital have been average, hovering around 8.3% ROIC over the decade.

Over the decade, Hartford (The) shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 27.4% of outstanding shares.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Hartford (The) is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $442.43 per share.

HIG stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Hartford Insurance GROUP, Inc. (HIG) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, HIG's intrinsic value is about $442.43 per share.

Is HIG stock undervalued?

At $135.12 (close on Oct 17, 2026), HIG trades 69% below its Graham value of $442.43. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Hartford Insurance GROUP, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $18.3B in fiscal 2016 to $1.5B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of -24.2%. Net income was $3.8B in fiscal 2025.

Does Hartford Insurance GROUP, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Hartford Insurance GROUP, Inc. generated $5.8B of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 10 of the last 10 reported years.

What is HIG's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 8.3%, and average return on equity was 10.6%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this HIG data come from?

From Hartford Insurance GROUP, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jul 23, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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