Hallador Energy Co. (HNRG) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Hallador Energy Co. (HNRG) has a Graham intrinsic value of $31.89 per share. At $11.71 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 63% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 5.8% a year to $469.5M, with an average return on invested capital of -2.4%.

Graham intrinsic value
$31.89
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$11.71
Price vs Graham value
63% below
Market cap
$508.6M
Revenue (FY2025)
$469.5M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
5.8%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-2.4%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$11.9M

HNRG 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $469.5M $41.9M $0.96 $11.9M 13.0% 35.5%
FY2024 $404.4M -$226.1M -$5.72 $12.6M -53.9% -82.1%
FY2023 $634.5M $44.8M $1.25 -$15.9M 10.2% 18.0%
FY2022 $362.0M $18.1M $0.55 $149.0K 8.4% 9.5%
FY2021 $243.9M -$3.8M -$0.12 $19.9M -2.5% -2.0%
FY2020 $242.1M -$6.2M — $31.9M 1.3% 0.7%
FY2019 $323.5M -$59.9M — $2.7M — -15.2%
FY2018 $293.6M $7.6M — $16.5M — 1.8%
FY2017 $271.6M $33.1M — $32.9M — 7.5%
FY2016 $281.4M $12.5M — $41.1M — 2.8%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

HALLADOR ENERGY CO has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 5.8% annually over the past decade.

HALLADOR ENERGY CO has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -2.4% ROIC.

HALLADOR ENERGY CO has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, HALLADOR ENERGY CO is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $31.89 per share.

HNRG stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Hallador Energy Co. (HNRG) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, HNRG's intrinsic value is about $31.89 per share.

Is HNRG stock undervalued?

At $11.71 (close on Oct 17, 2026), HNRG trades 63% below its Graham value of $31.89. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Hallador Energy Co. grown?

Revenue went from $281.4M in fiscal 2016 to $469.5M in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 5.8%. Net income was $41.9M in fiscal 2025.

Does Hallador Energy Co. generate free cash flow?

Hallador Energy Co. generated $11.9M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 9 of the last 10 reported years.

What is HNRG's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was -2.4%, and average return on equity was -7.1%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this HNRG data come from?

From Hallador Energy Co.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 10, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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