Heartland Express Inc. (HTLD) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Heartland Express Inc. (HTLD) has a Graham intrinsic value of $3.97 per share. At $10.95 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 176% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 7.9% a year to $58.1M, with an average return on invested capital of 9.0%.

Graham intrinsic value
$3.97
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$10.95
Price vs Graham value
176% above
Market cap
$853.4M
Revenue (FY2025)
$58.1M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
7.9%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
9.0%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$66.9M

HTLD 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $58.1M -$52.5M -$0.67 -$66.9M -98.8% -4.6%
FY2024 $78.0M -$29.7M -$0.38 $34.8M -25.9% -1.5%
FY2023 $94.8M $14.8M $0.19 -$43.3M 44.7% 2.7%
FY2022 $50.7M $133.6M $1.69 $34.1M 371.5% 15.5%
FY2021 $11.4M $79.3M $1.00 -$9.2M 924.6% 13.8%
FY2020 $14.3M $70.8M $0.87 -$25.5M 653.3% 10.0%
FY2019 $13.5M $73.0M $0.89 -$17.4M 698.3% 15.6%
FY2018 $14.9M $72.7M $0.88 -$22.7M 602.6% 15.6%
FY2017 $24.3M $75.2M $0.90 -$74.6M 261.5% 11.8%
FY2016 $29.4M $56.4M $0.68 $69.7M 291.0% 11.1%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 7.9% annually over the past decade.

HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC returns on capital have been average, hovering around 8.1% ROIC over the decade.

HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC is modeled at 7.9% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $3.97 per share.

HTLD stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Heartland Express Inc. (HTLD) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 7.9% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, HTLD's intrinsic value is about $3.97 per share.

Is HTLD stock undervalued?

At $10.95 (close on Oct 17, 2026), HTLD trades 176% above its Graham value of $3.97. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Heartland Express Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $29.4M in fiscal 2016 to $58.1M in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 7.9%. Net income was -$52.5M in fiscal 2025.

Does Heartland Express Inc. generate free cash flow?

Heartland Express Inc. generated -$66.9M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 3 of the last 10 reported years.

What is HTLD's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 9.0%, and average return on equity was 7.8%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this HTLD data come from?

From Heartland Express Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 10, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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