Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) has a Graham intrinsic value of $123.23 per share. At $220.96 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 79% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue shrank 4.4% a year to $8.3B, with an average return on invested capital of 10.7%.

Graham intrinsic value
$123.23
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$220.96
Price vs Graham value
79% above
Market cap
$89.7B
Revenue (FY2025)
$8.3B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
-4.4%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
10.7%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$1.4B

HWM 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $8.3B $1.5B $3.71 $1.4B 24.8% 22.1%
FY2024 $7.4B $1.2B $2.81 $977.0M 22.0% 18.6%
FY2023 $6.6B $765.0M $1.83 $682.0M 18.1% 13.3%
FY2022 $5.7B $469.0M $1.11 $540.0M 16.2% 10.2%
FY2021 $5.0B $258.0M $0.59 $250.0M 15.0% 8.7%
FY2020 $5.3B $261.0M — -$258.0M 11.9% 8.6%
FY2019 $14.2B $470.0M $1.03 -$180.0M 7.3% 9.9%
FY2018 $14.0B $642.0M $1.30 -$551.0M 9.5% 10.4%
FY2017 $13.0B -$74.0M -$0.28 $105.0M 2.5% 1.6%
FY2016 $12.4B -$941.0M -$2.31 -$255.0M 6.6% 3.6%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Howmet Aerospace is facing top-line stagnation, with revenue contracting over the decade.

Howmet Aerospace returns on capital have been average, hovering around 10.7% ROIC over the decade.

Howmet Aerospace has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Howmet Aerospace is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $123.23 per share.

HWM stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, HWM's intrinsic value is about $123.23 per share.

Is HWM stock undervalued?

At $220.96 (close on Oct 17, 2026), HWM trades 79% above its Graham value of $123.23. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Howmet Aerospace Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $12.4B in fiscal 2016 to $8.3B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of -4.4%. Net income was $1.5B in fiscal 2025.

Does Howmet Aerospace Inc. generate free cash flow?

Howmet Aerospace Inc. generated $1.4B of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 6 of the last 10 reported years.

What is HWM's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 10.7%, and average return on equity was 10.6%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this HWM data come from?

From Howmet Aerospace Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 6, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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