Kodiak AI, Inc. (KDK) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Kodiak AI, Inc. (KDK) has a Graham intrinsic value of $536.27 per share. At $1.35 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 100% below that value. Over the last 5 fiscal years revenue shrank 52.7% a year to $3.8M, with an average return on invested capital of 947.7%.

Graham intrinsic value
$536.27
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$1.35
Price vs Graham value
100% below
Market cap
$123.2M
Revenue (FY2025)
$3.8M
Revenue growth (5-yr CAGR)
-52.7%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
947.7%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$116.5M

KDK 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $3.8M -$585.5M -$6.42 -$116.5M -2966.2% 83.0%
FY2024 $14.9M $26.0M -$1.19 -$4.1M -11.9% 3734.3%
FY2023 $16.9M $16.9M -$0.98 -$4.6M -6.6% 13.1%
FY2022 — -$3.5K — — — -39.5%
FY2021 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Kodiak AI, Inc. revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

Kodiak AI, Inc. has earned high returns on invested capital, averaging 23.5% ROIC over the available history. High ROIC is consistent with a durable franchise, but it is not by itself proof of an economic moat.

Kodiak AI, Inc. capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Kodiak AI, Inc. is modeled at -52.7% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $536.27 per share.

KDK stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Kodiak AI, Inc. (KDK) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a -52.7% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, KDK's intrinsic value is about $536.27 per share.

Is KDK stock undervalued?

At $1.35 (close on Oct 17, 2026), KDK trades 100% below its Graham value of $536.27. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

Does Kodiak AI, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Kodiak AI, Inc. generated -$116.5M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 0 of the last 3 reported years.

What is KDK's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 5 fiscal years was 947.7%, and average return on equity was 15.2%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this KDK data come from?

From Kodiak AI, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 7, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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