Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc. (LCTX) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc. (LCTX) has a Graham intrinsic value of $7.19 per share. At $0.98 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 86% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 10.5% a year to $14.6M, with an average return on invested capital of -51.0%.

Graham intrinsic value
$7.19
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$0.98
Price vs Graham value
86% below
Market cap
$225.1M
Revenue (FY2025)
$14.6M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
10.5%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-51.0%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$19.4M

LCTX 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $14.6M -$63.5M -$0.28 -$19.4M -251.6% -172.2%
FY2024 $9.5M -$18.6M -$0.09 -$23.7M -226.1% -67.1%
FY2023 $8.9M -$21.5M -$0.12 -$29.2M -276.5% -48.1%
FY2022 $14.7M -$26.3M -$0.15 $646.0K -153.2% -43.6%
FY2021 $4.3M -$43.0M — -$23.9M -1133.6% -82.3%
FY2020 $1.8M -$20.6M — -$19.8M -1448.4% -28.8%
FY2019 $3.5M -$11.7M — -$32.4M -1106.0% -43.3%
FY2018 $5.0M -$46.0M — -$31.4M -837.9% -41.8%
FY2017 $3.5M -$20.0M -$0.17 -$31.8M -1125.0% -18.0%
FY2016 $5.9M $33.6M $0.34 -$44.6M -995.6% 34.9%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc. is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 10.5% annually over the past decade.

Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -34.0% ROIC.

Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc. has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc. is modeled at 8.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $7.19 per share.

LCTX stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc. (LCTX) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 8.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, LCTX's intrinsic value is about $7.19 per share.

Is LCTX stock undervalued?

At $0.98 (close on Oct 17, 2026), LCTX trades 86% below its Graham value of $7.19. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $5.9M in fiscal 2016 to $14.6M in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 10.5%. Net income was -$63.5M in fiscal 2025.

Does Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc. generated -$19.4M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 1 of the last 10 reported years.

What is LCTX's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was -51.0%, and average return on equity was -29.1%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this LCTX data come from?

From Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 6, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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