El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. (LOCO) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. (LOCO) has a Graham intrinsic value of $18.23 per share. At $16.34 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 10% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 2.9% a year to $490.0M, with an average return on invested capital of 4.7%.

Graham intrinsic value
$18.23
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$16.34
Price vs Graham value
10% below
Market cap
$480.3M
Revenue (FY2025)
$490.0M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
2.9%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
4.7%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$25.4M

LOCO 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $490.0M $26.5M $0.90 $25.4M 8.6% 5.9%
FY2024 $473.0M $25.7M $0.86 $27.7M 8.7% 6.0%
FY2023 $468.7M $25.6M $0.74 $19.4M 8.5% 5.9%
FY2022 $470.0M $20.8M $0.57 $18.6M 6.4% 4.4%
FY2021 $454.4M $29.1M $0.80 $35.1M 9.1% 6.1%
FY2020 $426.1M $24.5M $0.68 $33.9M 7.9% 5.8%
FY2019 $442.3M $24.9M $0.67 $20.7M 8.7% 7.2%
FY2018 $435.8M -$9.0M -$0.23 $17.6M -2.2% -2.0%
FY2017 $401.7M $8.6M $0.22 $17.4M 1.7% 1.8%
FY2016 $380.1M $18.3M $0.47 $11.9M 9.1% 5.6%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 2.9% annually over the past decade.

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 4.7% ROIC.

Over the decade, El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 24.7% of outstanding shares, and that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. is modeled at 7.5% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $18.23 per share.

LOCO stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. (LOCO) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 7.5% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, LOCO's intrinsic value is about $18.23 per share.

Is LOCO stock undervalued?

At $16.34 (close on Oct 17, 2026), LOCO trades 10% below its Graham value of $18.23. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $380.1M in fiscal 2016 to $490.0M in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 2.9%. Net income was $26.5M in fiscal 2025.

Does El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. generate free cash flow?

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. generated $25.4M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 10 of the last 10 reported years.

What is LOCO's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 4.7%, and average return on equity was 7.2%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this LOCO data come from?

From El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed May 8, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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