LOUISIANA-PACIFIC Corp. (LPX) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

LOUISIANA-PACIFIC Corp. (LPX) has a Graham intrinsic value of $43.97 per share. At $70.05 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 59% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 2.2% a year to $2.7B, with an average return on invested capital of 38.3%.

Graham intrinsic value
$43.97
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$70.05
Price vs Graham value
59% above
Market cap
$4.9B
Revenue (FY2025)
$2.7B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
2.2%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
38.3%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$91.0M

LPX 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $2.7B $146.0M $2.08 $91.0M 7.7% 8.9%
FY2024 $2.9B $420.0M $5.89 $422.0M 18.0% 23.3%
FY2023 $2.6B $178.0M $2.46 $16.0M 11.1% 12.8%
FY2022 $3.9B $1.1B $13.87 $732.0M 32.4% 74.5%
FY2021 $4.6B $1.4B $14.09 $1.2B 40.1% 122.4%
FY2020 $2.8B $499.0M $4.46 $582.0M 22.8% 45.3%
FY2019 $2.3B -$5.0M -$0.04 -$4.0M -0.9% -0.8%
FY2018 $2.8B $394.6M $2.73 $296.3M 18.6% 36.1%
FY2017 $2.7B $389.8M $2.66 $325.1M 19.1% 40.8%
FY2016 $2.2B $149.8M $1.03 $217.5M 9.1% 19.7%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 2.2% annually over the past decade.

LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP has earned high returns on invested capital, averaging 38.3% ROIC over the available history. High ROIC is consistent with a durable franchise, but it is not by itself proof of an economic moat.

Over the decade, LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 51.8% of outstanding shares, and that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP is modeled at 8.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $43.97 per share.

LPX stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC Corp. (LPX) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 8.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, LPX's intrinsic value is about $43.97 per share.

Is LPX stock undervalued?

At $70.05 (close on Oct 17, 2026), LPX trades 59% above its Graham value of $43.97. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has LOUISIANA-PACIFIC Corp. grown?

Revenue went from $2.2B in fiscal 2016 to $2.7B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 2.2%. Net income was $146.0M in fiscal 2025.

Does LOUISIANA-PACIFIC Corp. generate free cash flow?

LOUISIANA-PACIFIC Corp. generated $91.0M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 9 of the last 10 reported years.

What is LPX's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 38.3%, and average return on equity was 34.8%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this LPX data come from?

From LOUISIANA-PACIFIC Corp.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed May 6, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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