Lumen Technologies, Inc. (LUMN) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Lumen Technologies, Inc. (LUMN) has no Graham intrinsic value right now because the formula needs positive earnings. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue shrank 4.7% a year to $11.3B, with an average return on invested capital of -2.7%.

Graham intrinsic value
—
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$4.65
Market cap
$4.6B
Revenue (FY2025)
$11.3B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
-4.7%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-2.7%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$371.0M

LUMN 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $11.3B -$1.7B -$1.75 $371.0M -7.2% -3.2%
FY2024 $12.1B -$55.0M -$0.06 $1.1B 3.8% 1.3%
FY2023 $13.5B -$10.3B -$10.48 -$940.0M -70.9% -39.7%
FY2022 $16.1B -$1.5B -$1.54 $1.7B 0.6% 0.3%
FY2021 $17.8B $2.0B $1.91 $3.6B 24.1% 8.0%
FY2020 $18.8B -$1.2B -$1.14 $2.8B 5.1% 2.3%
FY2019 $20.4B -$5.3B -$4.92 $3.1B -13.3% -5.5%
FY2018 $21.9B -$1.7B -$1.63 $3.9B 2.6% 1.0%
FY2017 $17.7B $1.4B $2.21 $772.0M 11.4% 4.4%
FY2016 $17.5B $626.0M $1.16 $1.6B 13.3% 4.6%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Lumen Technologies, Inc. is facing top-line stagnation, with revenue contracting over the decade.

Lumen Technologies, Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -2.7% ROIC.

Lumen Technologies, Inc. has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Lumen Technologies, Inc. is modeled at -4.7% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $-1.48 per share.

LUMN stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Lumen Technologies, Inc. (LUMN) stock?

Graham's formula only works with positive earnings. Lumen Technologies, Inc. reported diluted EPS of -$1.75 in fiscal 2025, so no Graham value is shown. The 10-year table shows revenue and cash-flow trends instead.

How fast has Lumen Technologies, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $17.5B in fiscal 2016 to $11.3B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of -4.7%. Net income was -$1.7B in fiscal 2025.

Does Lumen Technologies, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Lumen Technologies, Inc. generated $371.0M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 9 of the last 10 reported years.

What is LUMN's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was -2.7%, and average return on equity was 29.7%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this LUMN data come from?

From Lumen Technologies, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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