MultiSensor Ai Holdings, Inc. (MSAI) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

MultiSensor Ai Holdings, Inc. (MSAI) has a Graham intrinsic value of $2.32 per share. At $4.06 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 75% above that value. Over the last 5 fiscal years revenue shrank 8.6% a year to $5.6M, with an average return on invested capital of -186.6%.

Graham intrinsic value
$2.32
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$4.06
Price vs Graham value
75% above
Market cap
$151.6M
Revenue (FY2025)
$5.6M
Revenue growth (5-yr CAGR)
-8.6%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-186.6%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$9.7M

MSAI 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $5.6M -$11.7M -$0.31 -$9.7M -216.4% -54.1%
FY2024 $7.4M -$21.5M -$1.07 -$18.2M -255.1% -272.6%
FY2023 $5.4M -$22.3M -$3.56 -$6.1M -396.6% -317.6%
FY2022 $7.3M $36.9K -$2.51 -$2.6M -19.1% -102.0%
FY2021 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc. revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -40.5% ROIC.

MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc. capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc. is modeled at -8.6% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $2.32 per share.

MSAI stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of MultiSensor Ai Holdings, Inc. (MSAI) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a -8.6% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, MSAI's intrinsic value is about $2.32 per share.

Is MSAI stock undervalued?

At $4.06 (close on Oct 17, 2026), MSAI trades 75% above its Graham value of $2.32. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

Does MultiSensor Ai Holdings, Inc. generate free cash flow?

MultiSensor Ai Holdings, Inc. generated -$9.7M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 0 of the last 4 reported years.

What is MSAI's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 5 fiscal years was -186.6%, and average return on equity was 7441.2%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this MSAI data come from?

From MultiSensor Ai Holdings, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed May 13, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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