ArcelorMittal (MT) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

ArcelorMittal (MT) has a Graham intrinsic value of $86.87 per share. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 0.9% a year to $61.4B, with an average return on invested capital of 8.6%.

Graham intrinsic value
$86.87
Revenue (FY2025)
$61.4B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
0.9%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
8.6%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
—

MT 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $61.4B $3.2B $4.11 — 5.9% 5.4%
FY2024 $62.4B $1.4B $1.69 — 5.3% 2.9%
FY2023 $68.3B $1.0B $1.09 — 3.4% 3.2%
FY2022 $79.8B $9.5B $10.18 — 12.9% 15.3%
FY2021 $76.6B $15.6B $13.49 — 22.2% 28.6%
FY2020 $53.3B -$578.0M -$0.64 — 4.0% 2.2%
FY2019 $70.6B -$2.4B -$2.42 — -0.9% -1.2%
FY2018 $76.0B $5.3B $5,040,000.00 — 8.6% 12.4%
FY2017 $68.7B $4.6B $4.46 — 7.9% 10.6%
FY2016 $56.8B $1.7B $1.86 — 7.3% 6.3%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

ArcelorMittal has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 0.9% annually over the past decade.

ArcelorMittal returns on capital have been average, hovering around 8.6% ROIC over the decade.

Over the decade, ArcelorMittal shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 19.9% of outstanding shares.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, ArcelorMittal is modeled at 8.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $86.87 per share.

MT stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of ArcelorMittal (MT) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 8.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, MT's intrinsic value is about $86.87 per share.

How fast has ArcelorMittal grown?

Revenue went from $56.8B in fiscal 2016 to $61.4B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 0.9%. Net income was $3.2B in fiscal 2025.

What is MT's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 8.6%, and average return on equity was 8.6%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this MT data come from?

From ArcelorMittal's annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Mar 6, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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