Murphy Usa Inc. (MUSA) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Murphy Usa Inc. (MUSA) has a Graham intrinsic value of $509.41 per share. At $547.67 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 8% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 5.9% a year to $19.4B, with an average return on invested capital of 22.0%.

Graham intrinsic value
$509.41
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$547.67
Price vs Graham value
8% above
Market cap
$10.7B
Revenue (FY2025)
$19.4B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
5.9%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
22.0%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$374.3M

MUSA 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $19.4B $470.6M $24.10 $374.3M 3.7% 20.6%
FY2024 $20.2B $502.5M $24.11 $389.5M 3.7% 22.4%
FY2023 $21.5B $556.8M $25.49 $448.4M 3.8% 25.7%
FY2022 $23.4B $672.9M $28.10 $689.4M 4.1% 31.2%
FY2021 $17.4B $396.9M $14.92 $462.7M 3.5% 23.4%
FY2020 $11.3B $386.1M $13.08 $333.0M 5.0% 27.4%
FY2019 $14.0B $154.8M $4.86 $108.5M 1.9% 13.8%
FY2018 $14.4B $213.6M $6.48 $194.4M 2.3% 17.5%
FY2017 $12.8B $245.3M $6.78 $25.4M 2.2% 21.8%
FY2016 $11.6B $221.5M $5.59 $75.3M 2.6% 16.1%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Murphy USA Inc. has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 5.9% annually over the past decade.

Murphy USA Inc. has earned high returns on invested capital, averaging 22.0% ROIC over the available history. High ROIC is consistent with a durable franchise, but it is not by itself proof of an economic moat.

Over the decade, Murphy USA Inc. shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 50.7% of outstanding shares, and that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Murphy USA Inc. is modeled at 8.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $509.41 per share.

MUSA stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Murphy Usa Inc. (MUSA) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 8.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, MUSA's intrinsic value is about $509.41 per share.

Is MUSA stock undervalued?

At $547.67 (close on Oct 17, 2026), MUSA trades 8% above its Graham value of $509.41. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Murphy Usa Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $11.6B in fiscal 2016 to $19.4B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 5.9%. Net income was $470.6M in fiscal 2025.

Does Murphy Usa Inc. generate free cash flow?

Murphy Usa Inc. generated $374.3M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 10 of the last 10 reported years.

What is MUSA's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 22.0%, and average return on equity was 50.5%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this MUSA data come from?

From Murphy Usa Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 6, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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