Noodles & Co. (NDLS) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Noodles & Co. (NDLS) has a Graham intrinsic value of $0.90 per share. At $13.97 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 1452% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 2.3% a year to $495.1M, with an average return on invested capital of -10.2%.

Graham intrinsic value
$0.90
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$13.97
Price vs Graham value
1452% above
Market cap
$80.8M
Revenue (FY2025)
$495.1M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
2.3%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-10.2%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$5.1M

NDLS 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $495.1M -$42.6M -$7.36 -$5.1M -6.4% -13.0%
FY2024 $503.4M -$9.9M -$0.21 -$24.5M -1.0% -1.8%
FY2023 $509.5M -$3.3M -$0.07 -$24.3M -0.2% -0.3%
FY2021 $475.2M $3.7M $0.08 $17.4M 1.2% 2.1%
FY2020 $393.7M -$23.3M -$0.53 -$2.7M -5.1% -6.8%
FY2019 $462.4M $1.6M $0.04 $12.7M 1.2% 2.6%
FY2018 $456.5M -$37.5M -$1.20 -$16.7M -7.4% -33.9%
FY2017 $487.5M -$71.7M -$2.58 -$18.6M -13.9% -50.3%
FY2015 $455.5M -$13.8M -$0.48 -$5.6M -4.6% -7.9%
FY2014 $403.7M $11.4M $0.37 -$7.3M 4.7% 7.0%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

NOODLES & Co has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 2.3% annually over the past decade.

NOODLES & Co has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -10.2% ROIC.

Over the decade, NOODLES & Co shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 81.3% of outstanding shares, and that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, NOODLES & Co is modeled at 2.3% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $0.90 per share.

NDLS stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Noodles & Co. (NDLS) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 2.3% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, NDLS's intrinsic value is about $0.90 per share.

Is NDLS stock undervalued?

At $13.97 (close on Oct 17, 2026), NDLS trades 1452% above its Graham value of $0.90. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Noodles & Co. grown?

Revenue went from $403.7M in fiscal 2014 to $495.1M in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 2.3%. Net income was -$42.6M in fiscal 2025.

Does Noodles & Co. generate free cash flow?

Noodles & Co. generated -$5.1M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 2 of the last 10 reported years.

What is NDLS's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was -10.2%, and average return on equity was 14.2%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this NDLS data come from?

From Noodles & Co.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jul 24, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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