Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) has a Graham intrinsic value of $48.25 per share. At $31.10 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 36% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 18.4% a year to $172.3M, with an average return on invested capital of 1.7%.

Graham intrinsic value
$48.25
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$31.10
Price vs Graham value
36% below
Market cap
$394.8M
Revenue (FY2025)
$172.3M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
18.4%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
1.7%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$58.6M

NGS 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $172.3M $19.9M $1.57 -$58.6M 21.6% 10.6%
FY2024 $156.7M $17.2M $1.37 -$5.4M 21.3% 10.9%
FY2023 $15.0M $4.7M $0.38 -$135.9M 69.7% 3.3%
FY2022 $10.4M -$569.0K -$0.05 -$37.4M 4.2% 0.2%
FY2021 $8.8M -$9.2M -$0.70 $2.8M -141.1% -4.4%
FY2020 $7.2M $1.8M $0.14 $17.4M -49.8% -0.8%
FY2019 $21.7M -$13.9M -$1.06 -$40.5M -69.7% -6.5%
FY2018 $36.8M $426.0K $0.03 -$16.4M 1.7% 0.2%
FY2017 $40.1M $19.9M $1.51 $4.0M 3.9% 0.6%
FY2016 $37.6M $6.5M $0.50 $28.5M 22.4% 2.8%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

NATURAL GAS SERVICES GROUP INC is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 18.4% annually over the past decade.

NATURAL GAS SERVICES GROUP INC has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 1.7% ROIC.

NATURAL GAS SERVICES GROUP INC has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, NATURAL GAS SERVICES GROUP INC is modeled at 13.6% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $48.25 per share.

NGS stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 13.6% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, NGS's intrinsic value is about $48.25 per share.

Is NGS stock undervalued?

At $31.10 (close on Oct 17, 2026), NGS trades 36% below its Graham value of $48.25. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Natural Gas Services Group Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $37.6M in fiscal 2016 to $172.3M in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 18.4%. Net income was $19.9M in fiscal 2025.

Does Natural Gas Services Group Inc. generate free cash flow?

Natural Gas Services Group Inc. generated -$58.6M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 4 of the last 10 reported years.

What is NGS's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 1.7%, and average return on equity was 1.9%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this NGS data come from?

From Natural Gas Services Group Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed May 11, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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