Northern Trust Corp. (NTRS) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Northern Trust Corp. (NTRS) has a Graham intrinsic value of $184.74 per share. At $165.54 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 10% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 0.1% a year to $5.0B, with an average return on invested capital of 12.6%.

Graham intrinsic value
$184.74
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$165.54
Price vs Graham value
10% below
Market cap
$31.8B
Revenue (FY2025)
$5.0B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
0.1%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
12.6%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$5.5B

NTRS 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $5.0B $1.7B $8.74 $5.5B — 13.5%
FY2024 $4.7B $2.0B $9.77 -$587.5M — 16.5%
FY2023 $4.4B $1.1B $5.08 $2.5B — 9.6%
FY2022 $4.4B $1.3B $6.14 $2.3B — 11.5%
FY2021 $4.4B $1.5B $7.14 $1.3B — 13.0%
FY2020 $4.0B $1.2B $5.46 $1.8B — 10.6%
FY2019 $3.9B $1.5B $6.63 $2.4B — 13.8%
FY2018 $3.8B $1.6B $6.64 $1.7B — 15.0%
FY2017 $3.4B $1.2B $4.92 $1.6B — 12.0%
FY2016 $5.0B $1.0B $4.32 $1.4B — 10.6%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Northern Trust has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 0.1% annually over the past decade.

Northern Trust returns on capital have been average, hovering around 12.6% ROIC over the decade.

Over the decade, Northern Trust shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 16.1% of outstanding shares.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Northern Trust is modeled at 8.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $184.74 per share.

NTRS stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Northern Trust Corp. (NTRS) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 8.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, NTRS's intrinsic value is about $184.74 per share.

Is NTRS stock undervalued?

At $165.54 (close on Oct 17, 2026), NTRS trades 10% below its Graham value of $184.74. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Northern Trust Corp. grown?

Revenue went from $5.0B in fiscal 2016 to $5.0B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 0.1%. Net income was $1.7B in fiscal 2025.

Does Northern Trust Corp. generate free cash flow?

Northern Trust Corp. generated $5.5B of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 9 of the last 10 reported years.

What is NTRS's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 12.6%, and average return on equity was 12.6%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this NTRS data come from?

From Northern Trust Corp.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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