NatWest Group PLC (NWG) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

NatWest Group PLC (NWG) has a Graham intrinsic value of $14.25 per share. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 3.0% a year to $16.6B, with an average return on invested capital of 10.0%.

Graham intrinsic value
$14.25
Revenue (FY2025)
$16.6B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
3.0%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
10.0%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$5.8B

NWG 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $16.6B $5.5B $0.67 $5.8B — —
FY2024 $14.7B $4.5B $0.53 $694.0M — —
FY2023 $14.8B $4.4B $0.48 -$19.0B — —
FY2022 $13.4B $3.3B $0.34 -$45.0B — —
FY2021 $13.3B $3.3B $0.34 -$44.9B — —
FY2020 $13.3B $3.3B $0.33 -$44.7B — —
FY2019 $13.2B $3.3B $0.33 -$44.5B — —
FY2018 $13.1B $3.3B $0.33 -$44.1B — —
FY2017 $12.9B $3.2B $0.33 -$43.6B — —
FY2016 $12.7B $3.2B $0.32 -$43.0B — —

Source: ESEF/IFRS annual reports. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

NATWEST GROUP PLC is analyzed from ESEF/IFRS 10-year financial history with European equity ROIC and Graham Valuation framing.

NATWEST GROUP PLC has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 3.0% annually over the past decade.

NATWEST GROUP PLC is evaluated as a financial franchise, with average ROE near 10.1% over the available history. Bank and fintech returns are not comparable to industrial ROIC and can be amplified by leverage; they do not by themselves prove an economic moat.

Over the decade, NATWEST GROUP PLC shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 17.4% of outstanding shares.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using ESEF/IFRS European equity fundamentals, NATWEST GROUP PLC is modeled at 8.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $14.25 per share.

NWG stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of NatWest Group PLC (NWG) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 8.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, NWG's intrinsic value is about $14.25 per share.

How fast has NatWest Group PLC grown?

Revenue went from $12.7B in fiscal 2016 to $16.6B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 3.0%. Net income was $5.5B in fiscal 2025.

Does NatWest Group PLC generate free cash flow?

NatWest Group PLC generated $5.8B of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 2 of the last 10 reported years.

What is NWG's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 10.0%, and average return on equity was 10.1%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this NWG data come from?

From NatWest Group PLC's ESEF/IFRS annual reports. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.