Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) intrinsic value & 10-year financials
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) has a Graham intrinsic value of $129.21 per share. At $84.24 on Oct 27, 2026, the stock trades 35% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 12.9% a year to $2.6B, with an average return on invested capital of 15.1%.
- Graham intrinsic value
- $129.21
- Share price (Oct 27, 2026)
- $84.24
- Price vs Graham value
- 35% below
- Market cap
- $5.2B
- Revenue (FY2026)
- $2.6B
- Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
- 12.9%
- ROIC (10-yr avg)
- 15.1%
- Free cash flow (FY2026)
- $194.7M
OLLI 10-year financial history
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Net income | EPS (diluted) | Free cash flow | Operating margin | ROIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | $2.6B | $240.6M | $3.89 | $194.7M | 11.2% | 14.5% |
| FY2025 | $2.3B | $199.8M | $3.23 | $106.9M | 11.0% | 13.7% |
| FY2024 | $2.1B | $181.4M | $2.92 | $130.1M | 10.8% | 14.2% |
| FY2023 | $1.8B | $102.8M | $1.64 | $62.7M | 7.2% | 9.2% |
| FY2022 | $1.8B | $157.5M | $2.43 | $10.0M | 11.7% | 16.3% |
| FY2021 | $1.8B | $242.7M | $3.68 | $330.7M | 15.3% | 26.1% |
| FY2020 | $1.4B | $141.1M | $2.14 | $28.4M | 12.2% | 15.1% |
| FY2019 | $1.2B | $135.0M | $2.05 | $51.9M | 13.1% | 16.0% |
| FY2018 | $1.1B | $127.6M | $1.96 | $76.7M | 12.6% | 17.1% |
| FY2017 | $890.3M | $59.8M | $0.96 | $50.6M | 11.5% | 8.5% |
Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.
Executive summary
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 12.9% annually over the past decade.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. has earned high returns on invested capital, averaging 15.1% ROIC over the available history. High ROIC is consistent with a durable franchise, but it is not by itself proof of an economic moat.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.
Benjamin Graham lens
Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $129.21 per share.