Douglas DYNAMICS, Inc. (PLOW) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Douglas DYNAMICS, Inc. (PLOW) has a Graham intrinsic value of $19.75 per share. At $39.54 on Oct 20, 2026, the stock trades 100% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 5.2% a year to $656.1M, with an average return on invested capital of 9.6%.

Graham intrinsic value
$19.75
Share price (Oct 20, 2026)
$39.54
Price vs Graham value
100% above
Market cap
$934.0M
Revenue (FY2025)
$656.1M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
5.2%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
9.6%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$63.9M

PLOW 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $656.1M $46.9M $1.96 $63.9M 11.2% 11.7%
FY2024 $568.5M $56.2M $2.36 $33.4M 15.6% 15.2%
FY2023 $568.2M $23.7M $0.98 $2.7M 7.9% 8.4%
FY2022 $616.1M $38.6M $1.63 $27.6M 9.5% 14.7%
FY2021 $541.5M $30.7M $1.29 $48.7M 9.4% 14.7%
FY2020 $480.2M -$86.6M -$3.81 $38.7M -15.6% -13.8%
FY2019 $571.7M $49.2M $2.11 $65.8M 15.1% 12.7%
FY2018 $524.1M $43.9M $1.89 $48.5M 14.0% 10.9%
FY2017 $474.9M $55.3M $2.40 $58.8M 14.8% 13.5%
FY2016 $416.3M $39.0M $1.70 $60.1M 16.6% 8.3%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

DOUGLAS DYNAMICS, INC has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 5.2% annually over the past decade.

DOUGLAS DYNAMICS, INC returns on capital have been average, hovering around 9.6% ROIC over the decade.

Over the decade, DOUGLAS DYNAMICS, INC shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 99.9% of outstanding shares.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, DOUGLAS DYNAMICS, INC is modeled at 1.6% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $19.75 per share.

PLOW stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Douglas DYNAMICS, Inc. (PLOW) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 1.6% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, PLOW's intrinsic value is about $19.75 per share.

Is PLOW stock undervalued?

At $39.54 (close on Oct 20, 2026), PLOW trades 100% above its Graham value of $19.75. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Douglas DYNAMICS, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $416.3M in fiscal 2016 to $656.1M in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 5.2%. Net income was $46.9M in fiscal 2025.

Does Douglas DYNAMICS, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Douglas DYNAMICS, Inc. generated $63.9M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 10 of the last 10 reported years.

What is PLOW's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 9.6%, and average return on equity was 12.2%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this PLOW data come from?

From Douglas DYNAMICS, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 3, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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