Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) has a Graham intrinsic value of $183.02 per share. At $78.53 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 57% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 5.5% a year to $8.2B, with an average return on invested capital of 5.4%.

Graham intrinsic value
$183.02
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$78.53
Price vs Graham value
57% below
Market cap
$4.9B
Revenue (FY2025)
$8.2B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
5.5%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
5.4%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$488.1M

POST 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $8.2B $335.7M $5.51 $488.1M 9.8% 5.7%
FY2024 $7.9B $366.7M $5.64 $502.2M 10.0% 6.2%
FY2023 $7.0B $301.3M $4.82 $447.3M 8.6% 4.9%
FY2022 $5.9B $756.6M $12.09 $127.3M 7.1% 4.4%
FY2021 $6.2B $166.7M $2.38 $395.7M 10.5% 5.1%
FY2020 $5.7B $800.0K $0.01 $391.0M 12.3% 4.0%
FY2019 $5.7B $124.7M $1.66 $414.1M 13.7% 8.5%
FY2018 $6.3B $467.3M $6.16 $494.3M 9.4% 6.6%
FY2017 $5.2B $48.3M $0.50 $196.3M 10.0% 4.5%
FY2016 $5.0B -$3.3M -$0.41 $380.9M 10.9% 4.2%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Post Holdings, Inc. has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 5.5% annually over the past decade.

Post Holdings, Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 5.4% ROIC.

Over the decade, Post Holdings, Inc. shows that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Post Holdings, Inc. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $183.02 per share.

POST stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, POST's intrinsic value is about $183.02 per share.

Is POST stock undervalued?

At $78.53 (close on Oct 17, 2026), POST trades 57% below its Graham value of $183.02. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Post Holdings, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $5.0B in fiscal 2016 to $8.2B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 5.5%. Net income was $335.7M in fiscal 2025.

Does Post Holdings, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Post Holdings, Inc. generated $488.1M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 10 of the last 10 reported years.

What is POST's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 5.4%, and average return on equity was 7.9%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this POST data come from?

From Post Holdings, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 6, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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