Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) has a Graham intrinsic value of $420.18 per share. At $277.68 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 34% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 8.7% a year to $17.9B, with an average return on invested capital of 3.6%.

Graham intrinsic value
$420.18
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$277.68
Price vs Graham value
34% below
Market cap
$76.1B
Revenue (FY2025)
$17.9B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
8.7%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
3.6%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$1.2B

RCL 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $17.9B $4.3B $15.61 $1.2B 27.4% 18.2%
FY2024 $16.5B $2.9B $10.94 $2.0B 24.9% 16.3%
FY2023 $13.9B $1.7B $6.31 $580.0M 20.7% 12.4%
FY2022 $8.8B -$2.2B -$8.45 -$2.2B -8.6% -3.5%
FY2021 $1.5B -$5.3B -$20.89 -$4.1B -252.6% -17.3%
FY2020 $2.2B -$5.8B -$27.05 -$5.7B -208.3% -26.7%
FY2019 $11.0B $1.9B $8.95 $691.7M 19.0% 9.5%
FY2018 $9.5B $1.8B $8.56 -$180.9M 20.0% 10.0%
FY2017 $8.8B $1.6B $7.53 $2.3B 19.9% 9.6%
FY2016 $8.5B $1.3B $5.93 $22.3M 17.4% 7.5%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Royal Caribbean Group is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 8.7% annually over the past decade.

Royal Caribbean Group has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 3.6% ROIC.

Over the decade, Royal Caribbean Group shows that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Royal Caribbean Group is modeled at 11.3% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $420.18 per share.

RCL stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 11.3% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, RCL's intrinsic value is about $420.18 per share.

Is RCL stock undervalued?

At $277.68 (close on Oct 17, 2026), RCL trades 34% below its Graham value of $420.18. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. grown?

Revenue went from $8.5B in fiscal 2016 to $17.9B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 8.7%. Net income was $4.3B in fiscal 2025.

Does Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. generate free cash flow?

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. generated $1.2B of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 6 of the last 10 reported years.

What is RCL's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 3.6%, and average return on equity was 1.8%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this RCL data come from?

From Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jul 28, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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