Saia Inc. (SAIA) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Saia Inc. (SAIA) has a Graham intrinsic value of $316.21 per share. At $335.00 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 6% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 11.1% a year to $3.2B, with an average return on invested capital of 17.0%.

Graham intrinsic value
$316.21
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$335.00
Price vs Graham value
6% above
Market cap
$9.0B
Revenue (FY2025)
$3.2B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
11.1%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
17.0%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$27.3M

SAIA 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $3.2B $255.0M $9.52 $27.3M 10.9% 10.2%
FY2024 $3.2B $362.1M $13.51 -$459.9M 15.0% 17.7%
FY2023 $2.9B $354.9M $13.26 $138.1M 16.0% 22.9%
FY2022 $2.8B $357.4M $13.40 $105.6M 16.9% 28.1%
FY2021 $2.3B $253.2M $9.48 $96.8M 14.6% 23.9%
FY2020 $1.8B $138.3M $5.20 $78.0M 9.9% 14.8%
FY2019 $1.8B $113.7M $4.30 -$14.8M 8.5% 13.5%
FY2018 $1.7B $105.0M $3.99 $32.8M 8.5% 14.3%
FY2017 $1.4B $91.2M $3.49 -$28.9M 6.7% 15.0%
FY2016 $1.3B $48.0M $1.87 $27.1M 6.3% 9.1%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

SAIA INC is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 11.1% annually over the past decade.

SAIA INC has earned high returns on invested capital, averaging 17.0% ROIC over the available history. High ROIC is consistent with a durable franchise, but it is not by itself proof of an economic moat.

Over the decade, SAIA INC shows that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, SAIA INC is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $316.21 per share.

SAIA stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Saia Inc. (SAIA) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, SAIA's intrinsic value is about $316.21 per share.

Is SAIA stock undervalued?

At $335.00 (close on Oct 17, 2026), SAIA trades 6% above its Graham value of $316.21. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Saia Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $1.3B in fiscal 2016 to $3.2B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 11.1%. Net income was $255.0M in fiscal 2025.

Does Saia Inc. generate free cash flow?

Saia Inc. generated $27.3M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 7 of the last 10 reported years.

What is SAIA's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 17.0%, and average return on equity was 17.1%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this SAIA data come from?

From Saia Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jul 30, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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