Smith Midland Corp. (SMID) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Smith Midland Corp. (SMID) has a Graham intrinsic value of $78.39 per share. At $22.65 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 71% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 9.9% a year to $93.4M, with an average return on invested capital of 16.1%.

Graham intrinsic value
$78.39
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$22.65
Price vs Graham value
71% below
Market cap
$120.2M
Revenue (FY2025)
$93.4M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
9.9%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
16.1%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$5.0M

SMID 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $93.4M $12.5M $2.36 $5.0M 18.2% 32.5%
FY2024 $78.5M $7.7M $1.45 -$1.0M 12.6% 26.1%
FY2023 $59.6M $795.0K $0.15 $2.7M 1.9% 2.6%
FY2022 $50.1M $800.0K $0.00 -$9.1M 1.7% 3.2%
FY2021 $50.6M $7.6M $0.00 $3.8M 12.2% 27.6%
FY2020 $43.9M $2.7M $0.00 $4.9M 8.6% 12.1%
FY2019 $46.7M $2.0M $0.00 -$581.0K 5.5% 8.2%
FY2018 $40.2M $1.7M $0.00 $3.2M 5.5% 8.9%
FY2017 $41.7M $2.7M $0.00 $185.0K 8.9% 19.3%
FY2016 $40.1M $2.8M $0.00 $250.0K 10.8% 20.1%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

SMITH MIDLAND CORP is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 9.9% annually over the past decade.

SMITH MIDLAND CORP has earned high returns on invested capital, averaging 16.1% ROIC over the available history. High ROIC is consistent with a durable franchise, but it is not by itself proof of an economic moat.

Over the decade, SMITH MIDLAND CORP shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 100.0% of outstanding shares.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, SMITH MIDLAND CORP is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $78.39 per share.

SMID stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Smith Midland Corp. (SMID) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, SMID's intrinsic value is about $78.39 per share.

Is SMID stock undervalued?

At $22.65 (close on Oct 17, 2026), SMID trades 71% below its Graham value of $78.39. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Smith Midland Corp. grown?

Revenue went from $40.1M in fiscal 2016 to $93.4M in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 9.9%. Net income was $12.5M in fiscal 2025.

Does Smith Midland Corp. generate free cash flow?

Smith Midland Corp. generated $5.0M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 7 of the last 10 reported years.

What is SMID's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 16.1%, and average return on equity was 14.7%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this SMID data come from?

From Smith Midland Corp.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jun 10, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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