Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG) has a Graham intrinsic value of $299.51 per share. At $205.44 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 31% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 1.8% a year to $6.4B, with an average return on invested capital of 9.1%.

Graham intrinsic value
$299.51
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$205.44
Price vs Graham value
31% below
Market cap
$67.0B
Revenue (FY2025)
$6.4B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
1.8%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
9.1%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$3.2B

SPG 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $6.4B $5.4B $14.17 $3.2B 49.9% 10.8%
FY2024 $6.0B $2.7B $7.26 $3.1B 51.9% 11.5%
FY2023 $5.7B $2.6B $6.98 $3.1B 49.6% 9.9%
FY2022 $5.3B $2.5B $6.52 $3.1B 48.8% 8.8%
FY2021 $5.1B $2.6B $6.84 $3.1B 47.2% 9.0%
FY2020 $4.6B $1.3B — $1.8B 42.8% 4.7%
FY2019 $5.8B $2.4B — $2.9B 50.5% 9.3%
FY2018 $5.7B $2.8B — $3.0B 51.5% 10.7%
FY2017 $5.5B $2.2B — $2.9B 50.6% 8.4%
FY2016 $5.4B $2.1B — $2.6B 50.1% 8.0%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Simon Property Group has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 1.8% annually over the past decade.

Simon Property Group returns on capital have been average, hovering around 9.1% ROIC over the decade.

Simon Property Group has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Simon Property Group is modeled at 8.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $299.51 per share.

SPG stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 8.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, SPG's intrinsic value is about $299.51 per share.

Is SPG stock undervalued?

At $205.44 (close on Oct 17, 2026), SPG trades 31% below its Graham value of $299.51. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Simon Property Group Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $5.4B in fiscal 2016 to $6.4B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 1.8%. Net income was $5.4B in fiscal 2025.

Does Simon Property Group Inc. generate free cash flow?

Simon Property Group Inc. generated $3.2B of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 10 of the last 10 reported years.

What is SPG's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 9.1%, and average return on equity was 77.9%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this SPG data come from?

From Simon Property Group Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 10, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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