Talos Energy Inc. (TALO) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Talos Energy Inc. (TALO) has a Graham intrinsic value of $51.48 per share. At $17.77 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 65% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 23.9% a year to $1.8B, with an average return on invested capital of -291.4%.

Graham intrinsic value
$51.48
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$17.77
Price vs Graham value
65% below
Market cap
$3.1B
Revenue (FY2025)
$1.8B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
23.9%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-291.4%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
—

TALO 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $1.8B -$494.3M -$2.82 — -31.5% -12.9%
FY2024 $2.0B -$76.4M -$0.44 — 8.8% 4.7%
FY2023 $1.5B $187.3M $1.55 — 14.4% 8.1%
FY2022 $1.7B $381.9M $4.56 — 44.6% 41.2%
FY2021 $1.2B -$183.0M -$0.00 — 30.1% 20.5%
FY2020 $587.5M -$465.6M -$0.01 — -71.7% -22.5%
FY2019 $927.6M $58.7M $0.00 — 23.0% 12.8%
FY2018 $891.3M $221.5M $0.00 — 28.4% 23.4%
FY2017 $412.8M -$62.9M -$0.00 — 11.0% -10.3%
FY2016 $258.8M -$208.1M -$0.01 — -31.2% -2978.6%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

TALOS ENERGY INC. is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 23.9% annually over the past decade.

TALOS ENERGY INC. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 3.5% ROIC.

Over the decade, TALOS ENERGY INC. shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 99.3% of outstanding shares.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, TALOS ENERGY INC. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $51.48 per share.

TALO stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Talos Energy Inc. (TALO) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, TALO's intrinsic value is about $51.48 per share.

Is TALO stock undervalued?

At $17.77 (close on Oct 17, 2026), TALO trades 65% below its Graham value of $51.48. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Talos Energy Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $258.8M in fiscal 2016 to $1.8B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 23.9%. Net income was -$494.3M in fiscal 2025.

What is TALO's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was -291.4%, and average return on equity was -270.0%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this TALO data come from?

From Talos Energy Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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