Hanover Insurance GROUP, Inc. (THG) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Hanover Insurance GROUP, Inc. (THG) has a Graham intrinsic value of $603.20 per share. At $232.97 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 61% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 3.2% a year to $6.6B, with an average return on invested capital of 11.4%.

Graham intrinsic value
$603.20
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$232.97
Price vs Graham value
61% below
Market cap
$8.5B
Revenue (FY2025)
$6.6B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
3.2%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
11.4%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$1.2B

THG 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $6.6B $662.5M $18.16 $1.2B 14.1% 21.3%
FY2024 $6.2B $426.0M $11.70 $796.2M 10.4% 16.8%
FY2023 $6.0B $35.3M $0.98 $349.8M 1.8% 3.0%
FY2022 $5.5B $116.0M $3.21 $704.5M 5.2% —
FY2021 $5.2B $418.7M $11.49 $815.7M 8.3% —
FY2020 $4.8B $358.7M $9.42 $692.7M 10.0% —
FY2019 $4.9B $425.1M $10.46 $589.6M 9.3% 12.3%
FY2018 $4.5B $391.0M $9.09 $538.2M 9.0% 12.0%
FY2017 $5.2B $186.2M $4.33 $686.0M 6.5% 6.5%
FY2016 $4.9B $155.1M $3.59 $721.9M 6.5% 7.8%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

HANOVER INSURANCE GROUP, INC. has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 3.2% annually over the past decade.

HANOVER INSURANCE GROUP, INC. returns on capital have been average, hovering around 11.4% ROIC over the decade.

Over the decade, HANOVER INSURANCE GROUP, INC. shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 15.5% of outstanding shares.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, HANOVER INSURANCE GROUP, INC. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $603.20 per share.

THG stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Hanover Insurance GROUP, Inc. (THG) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, THG's intrinsic value is about $603.20 per share.

Is THG stock undervalued?

At $232.97 (close on Oct 17, 2026), THG trades 61% below its Graham value of $603.20. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Hanover Insurance GROUP, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $4.9B in fiscal 2016 to $6.6B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 3.2%. Net income was $662.5M in fiscal 2025.

Does Hanover Insurance GROUP, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Hanover Insurance GROUP, Inc. generated $1.2B of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 10 of the last 10 reported years.

What is THG's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 11.4%, and average return on equity was 10.7%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this THG data come from?

From Hanover Insurance GROUP, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jul 29, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

Similar fire, marine & casualty insurance stocks