Tractor Supply Co. /DE/ (TSCO) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Tractor Supply Co. /DE/ (TSCO) has a Graham intrinsic value of $43.54 per share. At $33.16 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 24% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 9.6% a year to $15.5B, with an average return on invested capital of 21.9%.

Graham intrinsic value
$43.54
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$33.16
Price vs Graham value
24% below
Market cap
$17.6B
Revenue (FY2025)
$15.5B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
9.6%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
21.9%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$740.5M

TSCO 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $15.5B $1.1B $2.06 $740.5M 9.5% 15.4%
FY2024 $14.9B $1.1B $2.04 $636.8M 9.9% 17.0%
FY2023 $14.6B $1.1B $2.02 $580.1M 10.2% 18.8%
FY2022 $14.2B $1.1B $1.94 $583.6M 10.1% 21.2%
FY2021 $12.7B $997.1M $1.72 $510.3M 10.3% 23.8%
FY2020 $10.6B $749.0M $1.28 $1.1B 9.4% 20.0%
FY2019 $8.4B $562.4M $0.93 $594.3M 8.9% 20.0%
FY2018 $7.9B $532.4M $0.86 $415.9M 8.9% 30.4%
FY2017 $7.3B $422.6M $0.66 $381.0M 9.5% 25.6%
FY2016 $6.8B $437.1M $0.65 $413.0M 10.2% 26.5%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

TESCO PLC is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 9.6% annually over the past decade.

TESCO PLC has earned high returns on invested capital, averaging 21.9% ROIC over the available history. High ROIC is consistent with a durable franchise, but it is not by itself proof of an economic moat.

Over the decade, TESCO PLC shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 20.5% of outstanding shares, and that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, TESCO PLC is modeled at 8.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $43.54 per share.

TSCO stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Tractor Supply Co. /DE/ (TSCO) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 8.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, TSCO's intrinsic value is about $43.54 per share.

Is TSCO stock undervalued?

At $33.16 (close on Oct 17, 2026), TSCO trades 24% below its Graham value of $43.54. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Tractor Supply Co. /DE/ grown?

Revenue went from $6.8B in fiscal 2016 to $15.5B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 9.6%. Net income was $1.1B in fiscal 2025.

Does Tractor Supply Co. /DE/ generate free cash flow?

Tractor Supply Co. /DE/ generated $740.5M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 10 of the last 10 reported years.

What is TSCO's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 21.9%, and average return on equity was 42.6%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this TSCO data come from?

From Tractor Supply Co. /DE/'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed May 7, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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