Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. (VAC) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. (VAC) has a Graham intrinsic value of $118.58 per share. At $110.93 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 6% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 10.7% a year to $4.7B, with an average return on invested capital of 5.1%.

Graham intrinsic value
$118.58
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$110.93
Price vs Graham value
6% below
Market cap
$3.9B
Revenue (FY2025)
$4.7B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
10.7%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
5.1%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$29.0M

VAC 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $4.7B -$308.0M -$8.84 -$29.0M — -5.9%
FY2024 $4.6B $218.0M $5.61 $148.0M — 4.1%
FY2023 $4.4B $254.0M $6.28 $114.0M — 5.0%
FY2022 $4.4B $391.0M $8.77 $457.0M — 7.6%
FY2021 $3.6B $49.0M $1.13 $296.0M — 1.0%
FY2020 $2.6B -$275.0M -$6.65 $258.0M — -5.7%
FY2019 $4.1B $138.0M $3.09 $336.0M — 4.3%
FY2018 $2.8B $55.0M $1.61 $57.0M — 2.4%
FY2017 $2.0B $226.8M $8.18 $115.9M — 23.2%
FY2016 $1.9B $137.3M $4.83 $106.6M — 15.1%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLDWIDE Corp is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 10.7% annually over the past decade.

MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLDWIDE Corp has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 5.1% ROIC.

MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLDWIDE Corp has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLDWIDE Corp is modeled at 8.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $118.58 per share.

VAC stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. (VAC) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 8.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, VAC's intrinsic value is about $118.58 per share.

Is VAC stock undervalued?

At $110.93 (close on Oct 17, 2026), VAC trades 6% below its Graham value of $118.58. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. grown?

Revenue went from $1.9B in fiscal 2016 to $4.7B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 10.7%. Net income was -$308.0M in fiscal 2025.

Does Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. generate free cash flow?

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. generated -$29.0M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 9 of the last 10 reported years.

What is VAC's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 5.1%, and average return on equity was 5.7%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this VAC data come from?

From Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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