Velo3D, Inc. (VELO) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Velo3D, Inc. (VELO) has a Graham intrinsic value of $1.66 per share. At $6.80 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 310% above that value. Over the last 7 fiscal years revenue grew 19.4% a year to $46.0M, with an average return on invested capital of -218.3%.

Graham intrinsic value
$1.66
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$6.80
Price vs Graham value
310% above
Market cap
$112.0M
Revenue (FY2025)
$46.0M
Revenue growth (7-yr CAGR)
19.4%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-218.3%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$30.0M

VELO 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $46.0M -$71.4M -$4.33 -$30.0M -119.5% -121.8%
FY2024 $41.0M -$73.3M -$5.77 -$32.7M -200.8% -109.1%
FY2023 $77.4M -$135.1M -$0.68 -$106.7M -172.1% -117.2%
FY2022 $80.8M $10.0M $0.05 -$137.8M -129.1% -503.4%
FY2021 $27.4M -$107.1M -$1.82 -$66.0M -210.5% 136.8%
FY2020 $19.0M -$21.8M -$0.56 -$26.8M -111.8% -595.0%
FY2019 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Velo3D, Inc. revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

Velo3D, Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -37.0% ROIC.

Velo3D, Inc. capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Velo3D, Inc. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $1.66 per share.

VELO stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Velo3D, Inc. (VELO) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, VELO's intrinsic value is about $1.66 per share.

Is VELO stock undervalued?

At $6.80 (close on Oct 17, 2026), VELO trades 310% above its Graham value of $1.66. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

Does Velo3D, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Velo3D, Inc. generated -$30.0M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 0 of the last 6 reported years.

What is VELO's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 7 fiscal years was -218.3%, and average return on equity was -96.7%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this VELO data come from?

From Velo3D, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed May 14, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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