Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) has a Graham intrinsic value of $111.38 per share. At $167.90 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 51% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 12.1% a year to $9.5B, with an average return on invested capital of 6.1%.

Graham intrinsic value
$111.38
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$167.90
Price vs Graham value
51% above
Market cap
$43.3B
Revenue (FY2025)
$9.5B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
12.1%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
6.1%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$1.2B

WCN 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $9.5B $1.1B $4.17 $1.2B 18.1% 7.9%
FY2024 $8.9B $617.6M $2.39 $1.2B 12.0% 5.7%
FY2023 $8.0B $762.8M $2.95 $1.2B 15.4% 6.8%
FY2022 $7.2B $835.7M $3.24 $1.1B 17.2% 7.7%
FY2021 $6.2B $618.0M $2.36 $953.9M 16.9% 7.3%
FY2020 $5.4B $204.7M $0.78 $811.5M 7.6% 3.0%
FY2019 $5.4B $566.8M $2.14 $906.1M 15.5% 6.3%
FY2018 $4.9B $546.9M $2.07 $865.1M 16.9% 6.4%
FY2017 $4.6B $576.8M $2.18 $708.0M 13.5% 6.7%
FY2016 $3.4B $246.5M $1.60 $450.6M 13.4% 3.4%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Waste Connections, Inc. is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 12.1% annually over the past decade.

Waste Connections, Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 6.1% ROIC.

Over the decade, Waste Connections, Inc. shows that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Waste Connections, Inc. is modeled at 11.2% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $111.38 per share.

WCN stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 11.2% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, WCN's intrinsic value is about $111.38 per share.

Is WCN stock undervalued?

At $167.90 (close on Oct 17, 2026), WCN trades 51% above its Graham value of $111.38. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Waste Connections, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $3.4B in fiscal 2016 to $9.5B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 12.1%. Net income was $1.1B in fiscal 2025.

Does Waste Connections, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Waste Connections, Inc. generated $1.2B of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 10 of the last 10 reported years.

What is WCN's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 6.1%, and average return on equity was 8.7%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this WCN data come from?

From Waste Connections, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jul 23, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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