XCel Brands, Inc. (XELB) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

XCel Brands, Inc. (XELB) has no Graham intrinsic value right now because the formula needs positive earnings. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue shrank 19.0% a year to $4.9M, with an average return on invested capital of -13.9%.

Graham intrinsic value
—
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$0.43
Market cap
$1.5M
Revenue (FY2025)
$4.9M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
-19.0%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-13.9%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$7.0M

XELB 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $4.9M -$17.5M -$5.08 -$7.0M -267.9% -35.6%
FY2024 $8.3M -$22.4M -$9.84 -$4.8M -259.2% -44.2%
FY2023 $17.8M -$21.1M -$1.07 -$6.6M -116.3% -32.3%
FY2022 $25.8M -$4.0M -$0.20 -$14.4M -8.8% -2.3%
FY2021 $37.9M -$12.2M -$0.63 -$7.7M -33.1% -9.5%
FY2020 $29.4M -$12.9M -$0.68 $2.4M -55.7% -10.7%
FY2019 $41.7M -$3.4M -$0.18 $2.4M -6.3% -1.9%
FY2018 $35.5M $1.1M $0.06 $5.1M 11.1% 1.8%
FY2017 $31.7M -$10.1M -$0.55 $4.5M -29.1% -7.5%
FY2016 $32.8M $2.7M — $5.8M 14.9% 3.5%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

XCel Brands, Inc. is facing top-line stagnation, with revenue contracting over the decade.

XCel Brands, Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -13.9% ROIC.

Over the decade, XCel Brands, Inc. shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 82.0% of outstanding shares.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, XCel Brands, Inc. is modeled at -19.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $-1.52 per share.

XELB stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of XCel Brands, Inc. (XELB) stock?

Graham's formula only works with positive earnings. XCel Brands, Inc. reported diluted EPS of -$5.08 in fiscal 2025, so no Graham value is shown. The 10-year table shows revenue and cash-flow trends instead.

How fast has XCel Brands, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $32.8M in fiscal 2016 to $4.9M in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of -19.0%. Net income was -$17.5M in fiscal 2025.

Does XCel Brands, Inc. generate free cash flow?

XCel Brands, Inc. generated -$7.0M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 5 of the last 10 reported years.

What is XELB's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was -13.9%, and average return on equity was -20.7%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this XELB data come from?

From XCel Brands, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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