Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) has a Graham intrinsic value of $4.98 per share. At $74.01 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 1386% above that value. Over the last 8 fiscal years revenue grew 41.2% a year to $1.1B, with an average return on invested capital of -5.5%.

Graham intrinsic value
$4.98
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$74.01
Price vs Graham value
1386% above
Market cap
$25.2B
Revenue (FY2025)
$1.1B
Revenue growth (8-yr CAGR)
41.2%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-5.5%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$601.7M

AFRM 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $1.1B $52.2M $0.15 $601.7M -7.8% -1.2%
FY2024 $826.0M -$517.8M -$1.67 $290.8M -74.6% -17.3%
FY2023 $626.9M -$985.3M -$3.34 -$108.6M -191.5% -46.4%
FY2022 $559.2M -$707.4M -$2.51 -$248.5M -154.9% -32.5%
FY2021 $429.4M -$430.9M -$2.88 -$213.4M -88.3% -34.1%
FY2020 $276.1M -$112.6M -$2.63 -$92.3M -39.0% 34.2%
FY2019 $140.3M -$120.5M -$2.84 -$107.1M -90.9% 58.9%
FY2018 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Affirm Holdings, Inc. revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

Affirm Holdings, Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -5.5% ROIC.

Affirm Holdings, Inc. capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Affirm Holdings, Inc. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $4.98 per share.

AFRM stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, AFRM's intrinsic value is about $4.98 per share.

Is AFRM stock undervalued?

At $74.01 (close on Oct 17, 2026), AFRM trades 1386% above its Graham value of $4.98. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

Does Affirm Holdings, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Affirm Holdings, Inc. generated $601.7M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 2 of the last 7 reported years.

What is AFRM's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 8 fiscal years was -5.5%, and average return on equity was -4.4%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this AFRM data come from?

From Affirm Holdings, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed May 7, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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