Argan Inc. (AGX) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Argan Inc. (AGX) has a Graham intrinsic value of $205.88 per share. At $345.56 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 68% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 3.8% a year to $944.6M, with an average return on invested capital of 16.7%.

Graham intrinsic value
$205.88
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$345.56
Price vs Graham value
68% above
Market cap
$4.9B
Revenue (FY2026)
$944.6M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
3.8%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
16.7%
Free cash flow (FY2026)
$410.8M

AGX 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2026 $944.6M $137.8M $9.74 $410.8M 14.3% 68.9%
FY2025 $874.2M $85.5M $6.15 $161.0M 10.1% 44.3%
FY2024 $573.3M $32.4M $2.39 $114.1M 6.4% 23.3%
FY2023 $455.0M $33.1M $2.33 -$33.4M 9.2% 70.3%
FY2022 $509.4M $38.2M $2.40 $27.0M 8.7% -103.2%
FY2021 $392.2M $23.9M $1.51 $173.0M 5.9% 34.5%
FY2020 $239.0M -$42.7M -$2.73 $46.5M -23.4% -27.8%
FY2019 $482.2M $52.0M $3.32 -$120.9M 8.3% 10.7%
FY2018 $892.8M $72.0M $4.56 -$77.6M 12.0% 21.1%
FY2017 $675.0M $70.3M $4.50 $256.2M 16.6% 25.2%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

ARGAN INC has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 3.8% annually over the past decade.

ARGAN INC has earned high returns on invested capital, averaging 16.7% ROIC over the available history. High ROIC is consistent with a durable franchise, but it is not by itself proof of an economic moat.

ARGAN INC has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, ARGAN INC is modeled at 8.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $205.88 per share.

AGX stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Argan Inc. (AGX) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 8.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, AGX's intrinsic value is about $205.88 per share.

Is AGX stock undervalued?

At $345.56 (close on Oct 17, 2026), AGX trades 68% above its Graham value of $205.88. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Argan Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $675.0M in fiscal 2017 to $944.6M in fiscal 2026, a compound annual growth rate of 3.8%. Net income was $137.8M in fiscal 2026.

Does Argan Inc. generate free cash flow?

Argan Inc. generated $410.8M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2026. Free cash flow was positive in 7 of the last 10 reported years.

What is AGX's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 16.7%, and average return on equity was 15.0%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this AGX data come from?

From Argan Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jun 4, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

Similar construction - special trade contractors stocks