Arthur J Gallagher & Co. (AJG) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Arthur J Gallagher & Co. (AJG) has a Graham intrinsic value of $146.98 per share. At $254.88 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 73% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 10.5% a year to $13.9B, with an average return on invested capital of 7.5%.

Graham intrinsic value
$146.98
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$254.88
Price vs Graham value
73% above
Market cap
$66.3B
Revenue (FY2025)
$13.9B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
10.5%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
7.5%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
—

AJG 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $13.9B $1.5B $5.74 — — 5.6%
FY2024 $11.6B $1.5B $6.50 — — 8.1%
FY2023 $10.1B $969.5M $4.42 — — 5.9%
FY2022 $8.6B $1.1B $5.19 — — 7.6%
FY2021 $8.2B $906.8M $4.37 — — 7.4%
FY2020 $7.0B $818.8M $4.20 — — 8.4%
FY2019 $7.2B $668.8M $3.52 — — 8.0%
FY2018 $6.9B $633.5M $3.40 — — 9.2%
FY2017 $6.2B $463.1M $2.54 — — 7.6%
FY2016 $5.7B $414.4M $2.32 $431.8M — 7.2%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 10.5% annually over the past decade.

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 7.5% ROIC.

Over the decade, Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. shows that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. is modeled at 10.6% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $146.98 per share.

AJG stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Arthur J Gallagher & Co. (AJG) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 10.6% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, AJG's intrinsic value is about $146.98 per share.

Is AJG stock undervalued?

At $254.88 (close on Oct 17, 2026), AJG trades 73% above its Graham value of $146.98. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Arthur J Gallagher & Co. grown?

Revenue went from $5.7B in fiscal 2016 to $13.9B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 10.5%. Net income was $1.5B in fiscal 2025.

What is AJG's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 7.5%, and average return on equity was 11.8%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this AJG data come from?

From Arthur J Gallagher & Co.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 5, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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