Ambarella Inc. (AMBA) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Ambarella Inc. (AMBA) has a Graham intrinsic value of $6.49 per share. At $61.70 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 851% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 2.6% a year to $390.7M, with an average return on invested capital of -15.6%.

Graham intrinsic value
$6.49
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$61.70
Price vs Graham value
851% above
Market cap
$2.6B
Revenue (FY2026)
$390.7M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
2.6%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-15.6%
Free cash flow (FY2026)
$58.0M

AMBA 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2026 $390.7M -$75.9M -$1.78 $58.0M -21.1% -19.8%
FY2025 $284.9M -$117.1M -$2.84 $23.5M -44.4% -30.1%
FY2024 $226.5M -$169.4M -$4.25 $7.0M -68.2% -33.8%
FY2023 $337.6M -$65.4M -$1.70 $29.0M -22.0% -15.5%
FY2022 $331.9M -$26.4M -$0.72 $29.1M -8.9% -8.7%
FY2021 $223.0M -$59.8M -$1.72 $28.8M -27.4% -26.3%
FY2020 $228.7M -$44.8M -$1.35 $37.6M -21.7% -22.1%
FY2019 $227.8M -$30.4M -$0.93 $21.5M -17.7% -15.8%
FY2018 $295.4M $18.9M $0.55 $81.7M 8.3% 3.8%
FY2017 $310.3M $57.8M $1.68 $110.6M 19.5% 12.6%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

AMBARELLA INC has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 2.6% annually over the past decade.

AMBARELLA INC has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -15.6% ROIC.

AMBARELLA INC has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, AMBARELLA INC is modeled at 2.6% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $6.49 per share.

AMBA stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Ambarella Inc. (AMBA) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 2.6% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, AMBA's intrinsic value is about $6.49 per share.

Is AMBA stock undervalued?

At $61.70 (close on Oct 17, 2026), AMBA trades 851% above its Graham value of $6.49. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Ambarella Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $310.3M in fiscal 2017 to $390.7M in fiscal 2026, a compound annual growth rate of 2.6%. Net income was -$75.9M in fiscal 2026.

Does Ambarella Inc. generate free cash flow?

Ambarella Inc. generated $58.0M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2026. Free cash flow was positive in 10 of the last 10 reported years.

What is AMBA's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was -15.6%, and average return on equity was -9.3%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this AMBA data come from?

From Ambarella Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jun 2, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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