Axt Inc. (AXTI) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Axt Inc. (AXTI) has a Graham intrinsic value of $3.30 per share. At $51.47 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 1460% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 0.9% a year to $88.3M, with an average return on invested capital of 0.2%.

Graham intrinsic value
$3.30
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$51.47
Price vs Graham value
1460% above
Market cap
$2.3B
Revenue (FY2025)
$88.3M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
0.9%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
0.2%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$18.8M

AXTI 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $88.3M -$21.3M -$0.49 -$18.8M -24.9% -13.2%
FY2024 $99.4M -$11.6M -$0.27 -$17.9M -14.9% -7.5%
FY2023 $75.8M -$17.9M -$0.42 -$7.1M -28.5% -9.4%
FY2022 $141.1M $15.8M $0.37 -$37.2M 8.9% 5.2%
FY2021 $137.4M $14.6M $0.34 -$33.0M 9.4% 7.7%
FY2020 $95.4M $3.2M $0.07 -$14.0M 4.1% 1.7%
FY2019 $83.3M -$2.6M -$0.07 -$9.1M -0.4% -0.2%
FY2018 $102.4M $9.7M $0.24 -$37.3M 11.9% 5.9%
FY2017 $98.7M $10.1M $0.26 -$12.7M 12.8% 7.3%
FY2016 $81.3M $5.6M $0.17 $9.8M 7.9% 4.2%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

AXT INC has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 0.9% annually over the past decade.

AXT INC has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 0.2% ROIC.

AXT INC has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, AXT INC is modeled at 0.9% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $3.30 per share.

AXTI stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Axt Inc. (AXTI) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 0.9% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, AXTI's intrinsic value is about $3.30 per share.

Is AXTI stock undervalued?

At $51.47 (close on Oct 17, 2026), AXTI trades 1460% above its Graham value of $3.30. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Axt Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $81.3M in fiscal 2016 to $88.3M in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 0.9%. Net income was -$21.3M in fiscal 2025.

Does Axt Inc. generate free cash flow?

Axt Inc. generated -$18.8M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 1 of the last 10 reported years.

What is AXTI's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 0.2%, and average return on equity was 0.7%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this AXTI data come from?

From Axt Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed May 14, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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