Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) has a Graham intrinsic value of $17.17 per share. At $4.86 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 72% below that value. Over the last 8 fiscal years revenue shrank 26.9% a year to $3.0M, with an average return on invested capital of -18.3%.

Graham intrinsic value
$17.17
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$4.86
Price vs Graham value
72% below
Market cap
$8.9B
Revenue (FY2025)
$3.0M
Revenue growth (8-yr CAGR)
-26.9%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-18.3%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$612.0M

AUR 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $3.0M -$816.0M -$0.44 -$612.0M -30033.3% -47.9%
FY2024 $0 -$748.0M -$0.46 -$645.0M — -46.8%
FY2023 $0 -$796.0M -$0.60 -$613.0M — -51.6%
FY2022 $150.0M -$1.7B -$1.51 -$523.0M -1234.7% -105.5%
FY2021 $82.5M -$755.5M -$1.22 -$611.3M -885.2% -111.8%
FY2020 $0 -$214.4M -$0.79 -$198.6M — 38.5%
FY2019 $19.6M -$94.1M -$0.37 -$98.6M -579.1% 196.9%
FY2018 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Aurora Innovation, Inc. revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

Aurora Innovation, Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -54.2% ROIC.

Aurora Innovation, Inc. capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Aurora Innovation, Inc. is modeled at -26.9% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $17.17 per share.

AUR stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a -26.9% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, AUR's intrinsic value is about $17.17 per share.

Is AUR stock undervalued?

At $4.86 (close on Oct 17, 2026), AUR trades 72% below its Graham value of $17.17. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

Does Aurora Innovation, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Aurora Innovation, Inc. generated -$612.0M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 0 of the last 7 reported years.

What is AUR's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 8 fiscal years was -18.3%, and average return on equity was 8.3%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this AUR data come from?

From Aurora Innovation, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jul 29, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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